Warriors vs. Blazers Game 1 Betting Preview: Will Golden State Keep Rolling Without Durant?

May 14, 2019 11:10 AM EDT
Credit:

Photo credit: Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Draymond Green and Damian Lillard

Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors -7.5
  • Over/Under: 219
  • Time: 9 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN

>> All odds as of Monday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.


The Warriors managed to down the Rockets in Game 6 without Kevin Durant, and they’ll be without him again for Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals.

Is the spread of 7.5 too high due to KD’s absence? Our analysts discuss.

Betting Trends to Know

Did you know? Stephen Curry is averaging 27.5 PPG in his career against the Blazers, his highest average against any Western Conference opponent and third-highest scoring average against any team, behind just the Wizards and Raptors. When Steph shifts to Portland, he is averaging 29.5 PPG on the road, his highest road scoring average with a minimum 10 games played. – Evan Abrams

The last time Golden State saw Portland this season, the Blazers were stomping the champs, especially in the fourth quarter, when they outscored the Warriors 35-12 en route to a 129-107 win. Under Steve Kerr, the Warriors are 66-47 ATS (58.4%) when facing an opponent they previously lost to; if they lost by 20 points or more, they are 14-8 ATS (63.6%) in the next game, covering by 4.6 points per game. – Abrams

Over the last three seasons, the Warriors have played 34 total games without Kevin Durant but with Steph Curry. Golden State is 30-4 straight-up and 22-12 ATS, winning on average by 12.3 points per game. – Abrams

In the 41 games without Durant since 2016, the under is 27-14 (65.9%). When Durant is out and Curry is in, the under is 23-11 (67.7%), going under the total by 7.5 points per game. – Abrams

It has been profitable to bet favorites late the playoffs. Since 2005, the chalk is 127-113-1 (52.9%) ATS in the Conference and NBA Finals. Large favorites of six or more points, like the Warriors in Game 1, have been even more profitable, going 53-38 (58.2%) ATS. – John Ewing

A majority of spread tickets are on the Blazers in Game 1. In the Steve Kerr era, the Warriors are 13-3 ATS when they get less than 50% of bets, covering the spread by 7.9 points per game. – Ewing


Locky: How I’m Betting Game 1

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