Miami (FL) vs. Texas Odds & Betting Predictions - March 26, 2023
Miami (FL) at Texas
9:10 pm • CBSMiami (FL) at Texas Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami (FL) 7-24 | +3.5-110 | o147.5-110 | +165 | |
 Texas 19-15 | -3.5-110 | u147.5-115 | -189 | |
T-Mobile CenterKansas City
Miami (FL) vs. Texas Expert Picks
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 65-68-1 (-12.2u)
Over 149-110
1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 99-79-5 (+16.6u)
Under 79.5 (2H)-110
1.5u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (+0.8u)
Under 79 (2H)-110
1.1u
Under 153.5 (Live)-110
0.55u
so many bad shots
TEX +106 (Live)
1u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 5-47-0 (-7.4u)
T.Hunter o2.5 Ast+110
1.1u
MGM
Dont have time for analysis writeup
Projecting 3.1
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
N.Omier o23.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125
1.25u
Tacking on PRA too.
N.Omier o11.5 Pts-121
1.21u
Looking healthy, and should thrive scoring and on the offensive glass vs TEX w/o Disu.
Averaged 13 ppg this season.
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 4-21-0 (+13.3u)
TEX -3.5-110
1.1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 41-25-3 (+24.6u)
MIA +3.5-105
3u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 74-47-1 (+24.4u)
Under 148-110
1.1u
MIA +3.5-105
1u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (+0.8u)
Under 148-110
0.55u
liked this last night so gonna pull the trigger small
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 99-79-5 (+16.6u)
Under 148-110
1u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA +4-115
1u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 181-177-17 (+1.7u)
MIA +4-109
0.5u
🙌
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 48-58-3 (+25.9u)
TEX -1.5 (1H)-114
1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 99-79-5 (+16.6u)
MIA +5-120
0.83u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-1.0u)
Over 69.5 (1H)-112
0.89u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 222-243-6 (-6.0u)
Over 149-110
1u
MIA +4-107
1u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-1.0u)
Over 148.5-110
0.91u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 52-34-1 (+12.1u)
MIA +160
0.8u
Bet at Bet365. Riding the wave with profits from the Houston win.
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 5-12-0 (+0.3u)
Under 149.5-115
1.2u
Sharp Plays
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Hunter o2.5 Ast+107
1.07u
Projection - 3.0: For more, check out BettingPros.
Anders
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (+0.8u)
TEX -3.5-118
1.18u
Nico Terpak
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TEX -3.5-118
$110.00
Matthew Vincenzi
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TEX -4.5-110
1.1u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 48-58-3 (+25.9u)
TEX -4-110
1.1u
Miami (FL) vs. Texas Previews & Analysis
Miami (FL) vs. Texas Notes
Bracket Predictions
As of the start of the Sweet 16, the most likely team to make the Final Four from this region was No. 1 Houston, with 46.0% odds.
Entering the First Round, Texas was the second most likely No. 2 seed to make the Final Four, with 20.1% odds (breakeven moneyline +398).
Texas was the most popular No. 2 seed pick by the public in this round, and was selected to reach the Final Four in 26% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.
Tournament Trends
No. 5 Miami has played in seven of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 8-7 straight up and 7-8 against the spread in 15 total games.
No. 5 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 3-1 ATS (75.0% cover rate, average spread +0.9).
Since 2002, No. 2 seeds like Texas are 1-3 against No. 5 seeds like Miami in the Elite Eight (25.0% win rate, breakeven moneyline +300).
Elite Eight matchups pitting a No. 2 seed against a No. 5 seed have gone over the full game total an even 50.0% of the time (2-2, average over/under line 135.1).
No. 2 Texas has played in 17 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 19-17 straight up and 14-21-1 against the spread in 36 total games.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Miami (FL) vs. Texas Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Texas are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Texas are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Texas are 8-6 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Texas' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Texas' 20 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16-17-1 | 8-11-1 | 8-6 | 9-11-1 | 7-6 |
| 11-20 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 3-9 | 8-10 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22-12 | 13-7 | 9-5 | 12-9 | 10-3 |
| 19-12 | 11-6 | 8-6 | 9-3 | 9-9 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19-15 | N/A | N/A | 15-6 | 4-9 |
| 7-24 | N/A | N/A | 4-8 | 2-16 |
Last 5 Matchups
Miami (FL) vs. Texas Injury Updates
Miami (FL) Injuries
- Lynn KiddC
Kidd is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Matthew ClevelandG
Cleveland is questionable with leg
Questionable
- Malik ReneauF
Reneau is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Paul DjobetG
Djobet is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
Texas Injuries
- Tramon MarkG
Mark is probable with shoulder
Probable
- Arthur KalumaF
Kaluma is doubtful with knee
Doubtful
- Chendall WeaverG
Weaver is questionable with hip
Questionable
Team Stats
29-49 (59%)
Field Goals
30-60 (50%)
28-32 (88%)
Free Throws
11-15 (73%)
2-8 (25%)
3P
10-25 (40%)
23
Rebounds
23
11
Assists
20
12
Turnovers
13
9
Steals
6
1
Blocks
1
14
Fouls
23
Miami (FL) vs. Texas Odds Comparison
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Miami (FL) at Texas Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Miami (FL) 7-24 | N/A | N/A |
Texas 19-15 | N/A | N/A |