Montana St vs. K State Odds & Betting Predictions - March 18, 2023
Montana St at K State
1:56 am • CBSMontana St at K State Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Montana St 14-11 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
 K State 10-13 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
First Horizon ColiseumGreensboro
Montana St vs. K State Expert Picks
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KSU -7.5-110
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 12-13-0 (-2.3u)
MTST +8-105
2.1u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 39-40-0 (-0.5u)
MTST +7.5-108
1.08u
Anders
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.1u)
MTST +280
0.5u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 125-139-1 (+2.5u)
R.Battle u1.5 Ast-125
0.8u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 31-35-0 (-3.7u)
R.Battle u1.5 Ast-130
1u
He’s only cleared this in 5 of 18 conference games where Montana St was averaging 71.3 ppg. With a team total of 66 it’s even less likely he clears this number. Plus, Kansas St sends their opponents to the line at a very high rate and generate a lot of turnovers. Both factors hurt Battles assist chances here and we are projecting him closer to 1.1 with a 70% chance to stay under 1.5
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 23-41-0 (+0.1u)
R.Battle u1.5 Ast-130
1u
MGM/DK ... on this with @The_Oddsmaker so see his writeup. So far we are undefeated this tourney when on the same prop.
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 31-35-0 (-3.7u)
D.Sills u4.5 Rebs-128
1u
FanDuel: Montana St. gets to the line at the 5th highest rate in the country, leans on 2 point attempts from the field, and plays at a slow pace. All 3 factors will likely lead to fewer rebound chances for Sills. Projecting this closer to 3.6 with a 68% chance of staying under
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Brown o5.5 Rebs+121
1u
Projection - 5.9: For more, check out BettingPros.
Big Bets On Campus (CBB)
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MTST +8.5-110
1u
#stuckey @Stuckey2
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 53-48-0 (+13.2u)
MTST +8.5-110
1u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MTST +7.5-110
1.1u
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 52-53-1 (+1.7u)
MTST +7.5-110
1.1u
Anders
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.1u)
MTST +8-110
0.55u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 50-60-0 (-0.4u)
MTST +8.5-105
0.26u
Duck
Last 30d: 90-74-0 (+5.2u)
MTST +8.5-110
1.1u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 75-76-1 (+9.9u)
MTST +310
$1.00
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 46-51-4 (-1.4u)
MTST +8.5-108
$50.00
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 212-225-4 (+52.5u)
MTST +9-110
$1.10
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 25-14-1 (+12.6u)
MTST +9-115
0.6u
Pro Report +3 w $%
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 46-51-4 (-1.4u)
MTST +9-108
$40.00
Anders
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.1u)
MTST +9-115
1.15u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 56-59-1 (-1.4u)
MTST +9-110
0.5u
From live show
Montana St vs. K State Previews & Analysis
Montana St vs. K State Notes
Bracket Predictions
Montana St. is the public's trendiest No. 14 seed upset pick, showing up in 11% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.
Tournament Trends
Since 2002, No. 3 seeds like Kansas State are 71-9 against No. 14 seeds like Montana St. in the First Round (88.8% win rate, breakeven moneyline -789).
No. 3 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 44-35-1 ATS (55.6% cover rate, average spread -11.0).
No. 3 Kansas State has played in nine of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 10-9 straight up and 8-10-1 against the spread in 19 total games.
The No. 3 vs. No. 14 matchup has gone under the full game total 62.5% of the time (50-30, average over/under line 139.0).
The only appearance by No. 14 Montana St. in the past 20 NCAA tournaments was when they broke a long drought last year. They lost their only game, both straight up and against the spread.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Montana St vs. K State Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- K State are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- K State are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- K State are 5-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of K State' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 7 of K State' 15 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9-14 | 4-11 | 5-3 | 2-7 | 6-6 |
| 13-9 | 5-4 | 8-5 | 8-6 | 5-3 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11-1 | 7-7-1 | 4-4 | 5-4 | 5-6-1 |
| 11-11 | 5-4 | 6-7 | 8-6 | 3-5 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 | N/A | N/A | 6-3 | 2-10 |
| 14-11 | N/A | N/A | 10-4 | 1-7 |
Last 5 Matchups
K State vs. Montana St Injury Updates
K State Injuries
- Abdi BashirG
Bashir is out with foot
Out
- Mobi IkegwurukaG
Ikegwuruka is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
- Andrej KosticF
Kostic is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
- Elias RapiequeF
Rapieque is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
Montana St Injuries
Team Stats
25-54 (46%)
Field Goals
32-55 (58%)
9-17 (53%)
Free Throws
9-12 (75%)
6-21 (29%)
3P
4-15 (27%)
20
Rebounds
25
14
Assists
21
15
Turnovers
14
8
Steals
9
3
Blocks
3
13
Fouls
16
Montana St vs. K State Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Montana St at K State Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Montana St 14-11 | N/A | N/A |
K State 10-13 | N/A | N/A |