The Alabama Crimson Tide take on the Ole Miss Rebels in Oxford, MS. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Alabama is favored by 7.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -340. The total is set at 164.5 points.
Here’s my Alabama vs. Ole Miss predictions and college basketball picks for February 11, 2026.
Alabama vs Ole Miss Prediction
My Pick: Alabama 1H ML & Alabama ML (-140, DraftKings)
My Alabama vs Ole Miss best bet is on a parlay consisting of the Tide winning both halves. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Alabama vs. Ole Miss Odds
| Alabama Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -105 | 164.5 -110 / -110 | -340 |
| Ole Miss Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -115 | 164.5 -110 / -110 | +270 |
- Alabama vs Ole Miss spread: Alabama -7.5
- Alabama vs Ole Miss over/under: 164.5 points
- Alabama vs Ole Miss moneyline: Alabama -340, Ole Miss +270
Alabama vs Ole Miss College Basketball Betting Preview
Alabama Basketball
In his seventh season in Tuscaloosa, head coach Nate Oats has had a rather disappointing season with Alabama thus far after previously being ranked inside the top 15 in the preseason poll.
Oats has led Alabama to five consecutive NCAA Tournaments, having only just missed the Big Dance in his first season at the helm.
The Tide are coming off consecutive trips to the Elite Eight and Final Four, and surely have a lot of work to do in order to improve their NCAA Tournament resume before March comes around. They enter Wednesday night’s contest in Oxford with a 16-7 overall record.
Alabama has won six of its first 10 SEC games and has several difficult matchups ahead before the end of the regular season.
Leading the way for an Alabama offense scoring 91 points per game is Philon's 21.5 points per game, which ranks 10th nationally. The 6-foot-4 star is also racking up five assists and 3.5 rebounds per game.
Alongside Philon, backcourt mate Aden Holloway is also having a spectacular second season in Tuscaloosa. After coming off the bench in his first year under Oats, the 6-foot-1 guard has started 18 of 19 games this season.
Alabama ranks third in the country in offensive efficiency, according to KenPom, largely due to stellar play from its backcourt. The Tide have also gotten solid play from senior guard Latrell Wrightsell, who's scoring over 12 points per game this season.
Oats is well-known for his prowess as an offensive mastermind, successfully implementing his high-octane, free-flowing offense during his tenure as head coach at Buffalo before his time in Tuscaloosa.
The Alabama head coach favors a very high-tempo, “Rim and 3” style offense that takes a very analytical approach, stressing the importance of high-value 3-point shooting and layups rather than settling for jump shots in the lane.
Oats also uses a “5-out” offensive structure that emphasizes floor spacing, forcing defenses to switch to cover the entire floor.
While it's the Tide guards who have excelled offensively, its frontcourt has been relatively disappointing. Both sophomore forward Aiden Sherrell and senior center Charles Bediako have been very inconsistent on the offensive end of the floor — and now Bediako is ineligible.
There's no doubt that Oats’ offense deserves a lot of praise for its efficiency, but the Tide have been disastrous on the other end of the court, ranking outside the top 70 in the country in defensive efficiency, according to KenPom. Alabama is allowing an average of 81 points per game.
While up-tempo play often inevitably results in allowing a good amount of points on the other end of the floor, the Crimson Tide have been atrocious defending the perimeter, which is very problematic in a conference filled with elite offensive teams.
Ole Miss Basketball
After a tremendous 2024-25 season resulting in a Sweet 16 appearance, Ole Miss has struggled mightily in 2025-26, posting an 11-12 overall record.
In what initially appeared to be a great start to Chris Beard’s third season at the helm, with the Rebels winning its first five games, it's been all downhill ever since, with Ole Miss having lost 12 of its next 18 contests. Beard’s bunch has an atrocious 3-7 record in conference play thus far.
The stellar play from 6-foot-5 senior guard AJ Storr has been the sole light in a very dark campaign for the Rebels. Storr was a big addition via the transfer portal, having previously played for St. John's, Wisconsin and Kansas. Storr is averaging 17 points per game, while also grabbing three rebounds.
Alongside Storr, guard Ilias Kamardine has also been a great presence. The Frenchman is averaging over 11 points per contest for a Rebels offense that ranks outside the top 80 in the country in offensive efficiency, according to Haslametrics.
Senior forward Malik Dia is also having a rather impressive season for the Ole Miss frontcourt, posting over 13 points per game. Dia was a part of Beard’s starting lineup last season, having played a big role in the Rebels' Sweet 16 run.
Beard was brought into Oxford prior to the 2024 season primarily for his prowess as a defensive mastermind. He previously led Texas Tech to the national title game in 2019, and the defense ranked tops in college basketball that season.
Beard is often praised for his “no-middle” style of defense. This scheme primarily emphasizes heavy ball pressure to force ball handlers to the sidelines and away from the center of the court.
In what's now a pretty common defensive scheme throughout the sport, Beard’s system also prioritizes defensive rebounding and aims to force turnovers to generate points in transition.
While there's no doubt that Beard is a great defensive coach, Ole Miss has really struggled on that end of the floor, ranking outside the top 60 nationally in defensive efficiency, according to KenPom.
Alabama vs. Ole Miss Betting Analysis
If Ole Miss is to go on a run to end the season, it'll need to improve substantially on both ends of the floor. In a meeting with one of the nation’s top offenses, Beard is going to need a great defensive game plan to contain an extremely up-tempo Oats offense that can generate points from anywhere on the floor.
The Rebels will also need some consistency on offense and will surely need to rely heavily on their guard play while converting on their attempts from beyond the arc. While Alabama has extremely impressive offensive firepower, it's been very vulnerable on the defensive end this season.
I just can't back this Ole Miss team right now, even on its home floor. There's no doubt that Alabama’s play has looked very concerning over the last few weeks, but I think Oats’ bunch is the far superior team.
I'll be taking a unique approach to betting on Wednesday's SEC clash — I'll be taking Alabama to win both halves at -140 on DraftKings.
My Pick: Alabama 1H ML & Alabama ML (-140, DraftKings)
