College Basketball Betting Data, Feb. 11: Portland State Drawing Contrarian Interest

College Basketball Betting Data, Feb. 11: Portland State Drawing Contrarian Interest article feature image

Joseph Weiser-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Barret Peery

On a small college basketball slate, contrarian bettors are getting involved in some under-the-radar matchups.

Should you do the same?

All betting data comes from our public betting page (ticket count is free, but money percentages are available only to EDGE subscribers).

Betting trends are available for free in The Action Network app, while more advanced betting systems are available to Sports Insights subscribers via Bet Labs.

Most Public Bets

As of 10 a.m. ET. 

  1. Baylor -4.5 (75%) vs. Oklahoma
  2. Sacramento State -4 (68%) vs. Portland State
  3. Bethune Cookman -4.5 (81%) vs. Howard
  4. Kansas +2.5 (65%) at TCU
  5. Savannah State +1 (64%) vs. Morgan State

Biggest Betting Ticket/Money Discrepancies

We track both betting tickets on a given game and the percentage of money that’s been bet on each side. If there’s a big discrepancy, there’s likely some sharper, larger bets on the opposite side.

Here are the three biggest discrepancies for Monday as of 3:30 p.m. ET. This data will change as we get closer to tipoffs. Minimum 500 bets.

TCU (-2.5) vs. Kansas

  • 9 p.m. ET, ESPN
  • 35% of tickets, 58% of money
  • 23% difference
  • Line move: TCU -2 to -2.5

Delaware State (+12) vs. NC Central

  • 7:30 p.m. ET
  • 54% of tickets, 75% of money
  • 21% difference
  • Line move: Delaware State +14 to +12

Portland State (+4) at Sacramento State

  • 10 p.m. ET
  • 32% of tickets, 48% of money
  • 16% difference
  • Line move: Portland State +4.5 to +4

EDGE subscribers can get the rest of the biggest ticket/money differences here.

Bet Labs Pro Trend

Over at Bet Labs, we’ve created historically profitable betting systems for every sport. There actually aren’t any PRO systems that match tonight’s games, but a few user-generated systems do.

Good Defensive, Bad ATS Team As Road Underdog

The theory makes sense anecdotally — teams that have struggled against the spread will get inflated spreads. And if that team has a decent defense and plays at a slow pace, it should be able to keep it close and hang inside the number. The data backs it up.

This system fits Portland State +4 tonight against Sacramento State. This system has covered 58% of the time since 2005.

You can create your own betting systems by signing up for a trial of Bet Labs here.

Sharp Money Indicators

Each day, we try to highlight one game from our sharp report page that has multiple indicators of sharp action. Tonight, it’s UNC-Virginia.

Our sharp report has triggered a steam move and contrarian indicators on the Tar Heels, who have moved from +1 to -1.

EDGE subscribers can get full access to our sharp report page here.