NCAAB Betting Guide for Oklahoma vs Kansas State

NCAAB Betting Guide for Oklahoma vs Kansas State article feature image
Credit:

Photo by Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images. Pictured: Jerome Tang (Kansas State)

Oklahoma vs. Kansas State Odds

Wednesday, March 1
8 p.m. ET
ESPN+
Oklahoma Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+7.5
-118
141.5
-110o / -110u
+245
Kansas State Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-7.5
-104
141.5
-110o / -110u
-310
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute college basketball odds here.

As the Big 12 season comes to a close, there's still much to be decided, particularly at the top of the standings.

The Kansas State Wildcats are one of the four teams very much in the conversation for a top-four seed with just two games to play. The Wildcats sit at 10-6 in conference play, just one game back of both Texas and Baylor.

Taking care of business on their home floor will be critical for the Wildcats, as they end the season on the road against West Virginia.

On the other side, Porter Moser's Oklahoma squad sits in sole possession of last place after a recent surge from a now healthy Texas Tech team.

Additionally, this could be a letdown spot after the Sooners were able to take down Iowa State on the road this Saturday.

To pick which team will bolster its postseason resume, let's take a look at the odds and make a prediction for Oklahoma vs. Kansas State.


Oklahoma Sooners

For Oklahoma this has been a season to forget.

Much of the Sooners' troubles have come on the offensive end, as they have averaged just 68 points per game.

The Sooners rank last in the Big 12 in offensive efficiency, turnover percentage, offensive rebounding percentage and free throws per game.

When you take a look at their upcoming matchup against a motivated Kansas State team, these are the areas that have the potential to be exposed.

In particular, Kansas State has been great at getting out in transition after creating turnovers, ranking 47th nationally in turnover percentage at 21.1%.

Additionally, the Wildcats rank 40th nationally in potential points off breakaway steals, according to Haslametrics.

MARKQUIS NOWELL WITH THE STEAL AND THE LAY‼️ pic.twitter.com/1LIMZirahg

— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) January 18, 2023

This tangible ability to turn Oklahoma's weakness on offense into points on the other end will be a significant advantage for Kansas State.

If there has been one bright spot for this Oklahoma offense, it has been its ability to create from the mid-range. The Sooners rank 65th nationally in 2-point percentage at 53.2%.

However, this is another area Kansas State's defense will be equipped to stop the Sooners, as it ranks 17th nationally in mid-range shooting percentage allowed at 34.2%.

Look for Oklahoma to struggle on the offensive end.

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Kansas State Wildcats

Not only will Kansas State have Big 12 Tournament seeding on its mind Wednesday night, but it will also be seeking revenge.

The Wildcats will be looking to avenge a 79-65 loss they suffered in Norman on Feb. 14.

A huge reason for this loss was Kansas State's inability to convert from the 3-point line. The Wildcats shot just 20% from beyond the arc, well below their Big 12 average of 33.9% (4th in the Big 12).

Although Oklahoma has been effective at defending the perimeter, these numbers are bound to see progression, adding to the Wildcats' offensive arsenal.

Additionally, the Wildcats have shown their ability to create offense without relying on their outside shooting. Against Baylor, Kansas State converted just four of its 21 3-point attempts while still coming out on top by double digits.

One way Kansas State accomplished this was at the free-throw line. The Wildcats rank first in the Big-12, scoring 24.5% of their baskets from the charity stripe.

This will be critical against an Oklahoma team allowing the fifth-most points from the free-throw line in the Big 12 at 20.5%.

Even if it's unsuccessful from the perimeter, look for Kansas State to find other way to supplement its offense.


Oklahoma vs. Kansas State Betting Pick

This is a big-time opportunity for Kansas State to take care of business at home and stay in the hunt for a top-four seed in the Big 12 Tournament.

Additionally, the Wildcats will not overlook the Sooners despite their record. Jerome Tang's squad will be prepared to get revenge for one of its few losses in the Big 12.

Look for the Wildcats' defense to make life difficult for Oklahoma's struggling offense and turn Oklahoma's turnover problems directly into points on the other end.

Pick: Kansas State -6.5 (Play to -7) 

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