Oklahoma State vs Texas Betting Odds & Pick: Defenses to Step Up?
Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Dylan Disu (Texas)
Oklahoma State vs Texas Odds
| Oklahoma State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -105 | 136.5 -110o / -110u | +290 |
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -115 | 136.5 -110o / -110u | -375 |
There continues to be nothing more entertaining night in and night out than Big 12 basketball.
The entertainment will roll on with Tuesday night's matchup between Oklahoma State and Texas.
The Longhorns (5-2) come into this contest in a three-way tie for second place in the Big 12. On Saturday, Texas was able to bounce back from a 12-point loss to Iowa State by going on the road and beating West Virginia, 69-61.
On the other side, Oklahoma State is coming off one of its biggest wins of the season. The Cowboys were able to take down No. 12 Iowa State on their home floor, 61-59.
To determine if Texas will allow Oklahoma State to build on this momentum, let's take a look at the odds and make a prediction for Oklahoma State vs. Texas.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Fresh off their biggest win of the season, the Cowboys travel to Austin on a two-game winning streak. Oklahoma State was able to take down No. 12 Iowa State due to an 18-point performance from Avery Anderson III, which tied his season high.
However significant this victory was for Oklahoma State, it did not come out completely unscathed. Leading scorer Bryce Thompson only logged nine total minutes after exiting with an ankle injury.
In addition, center Moussa Cisse — who has been limited or unavailable in the Cowboys last five contests — only logged 15 total minutes.
It's unclear the overall status of either player, but it's important to note for a Cowboys team that is in a letdown spot following their biggest win of the season.
#OKState coach Mike Boynton said he thinks Moussa Cisse did not reinjure his ankle and that was is more of a scare for the big man.
Boynton also doesn't think Bryce Thompson's injury is major.
But — this needs to be stressed — Boynton was still waiting on reports from staff.
— Jacob Unruh (@jacobunruh) January 21, 2023
Even when setting health issues aside, this is an Oklahoma State team that has struggled to find consistency on the offensive end. The Cowboys rank 139th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and are scoring just 67.8 points per game.
This poor offensive production will be exposed against a Texas team that ranks 24th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency due in large part to its ability to create pressure.
The Longhorns create turnovers on 23.3% of their opponents' possessions, the 23rd-highest rate in the country.
Taking care of the basketball is an area Oklahoma State has struggled, turning the ball over on 21.2% of its possessions (317th nationally).
Look for Texas to cause all sorts of problems for an Oklahoma State offense looking to get healthy after an emotional victory against Iowa State.
Texas Longhorns
Although the Longhorns were impressive offensively to start the season, they have started to win games on the defensive end.
Since its Jan. 3 loss to Kansas State, Texas has failed to reach its season scoring average of 80.1 points per game.
This regression in offensive production is important to note as they face an Oklahoma State team that thrives on the defensive end. The Cowboys have the eighth-highest Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, allowing opponents to score just 61.9 points per game.
Oklahoma State is especially efficient on the defensive interior, allowing just 48.3% of its points from 2-point range as a result of a 42.6% 2-point percentage allowed (fifth nationally).
This interior presence will be valued against Texas point guard Marcus Carr and an entire Longhorns team thriving off of creating penetration.
Texas has the 11th-highest 2-point percentage in the country, shooting 56.7% inside the arc, which results in 56.4% of its points.
If Texas is looking for a get-right game on the offensive end, it will have to earn it against an Oklahoma State team playing solid defense.
Oklahoma State vs Texas Betting Pick
As is important to note in most college basketball matchups, this is a great situational spot for Texas.
Oklahoma State must travel to Austin after its biggest win of the season. In addition, the Cowboys are potentially down two key contributors due to injury.
Even with that being said, I think there is more value on the total than on a Texas team that has been bet up to over eight-point favorites.
Both of these teams have shown an ability to win games in the Big 12 on the defensive end. Specifically, Texas has struggled to find consistent offensive production in conference, but still sits in a tie for second due to its defensive play.
On the other end, Oklahoma State ranks inside the top 10 defensively in adjusted efficiency, effective field-goal percentage, 2-point percentage and block percentage.
Because of all of these reasons, I believe the under is worth a play down to 134.
Pick: Under 135.5 (Play to 134) |
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