Florida vs Texas A&M Odds, Picks: Why to Back Gators

Florida vs Texas A&M Odds, Picks: Why to Back Gators article feature image

James Gilbert/Getty Images.Pictured: Florida’s Colin Castleton.

Florida vs Texas A&M Odds

Wednesday, Jan. 18
7 p.m. ET
SEC Network
Florida Odds
-110o / -110u
Texas A&M Odds
-110o / -110u
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute college basketball odds here.

Florida travels to College Station on Wednesday looking to avenge a Jan. 4 loss to Texas A&M in Gainesville. The Gators lost by three, due in part to turning the ball over 20 times.

On the other side, Texas A&M is looking to defend its home floor and an undefeated record in SEC play. The Aggies have won six in a row, with their last loss coming against Wofford on Dec. 20.

To see if the Aggies can accomplish this, let's take a look at the odds and make a prediction for Florida vs. Texas A&M.

Todd Golden and the Gators will have much to improve on from their first meeting with the Aggies.

In addition to turning the ball over 20 times, Florida allowed A&M to shoot 28 total free throws as a result of committing 24 personal fouls.

These are two areas Florida has not struggled in for the majority of the season. The Gators have a turnover percentage of just 17.4%, the 85th-best rate in the country. In addition, the Florida defense has allowed opponents to score just 18.5% of their points from the free-throw line, which is just over the D-I average.

Given these season-long numbers, I expect the Gators to improve in both areas ahead of Wednesday night's rematch.

Texas A&M Aggies

Buzz Williams and Texas A&M have had a memorable 2022-23 season thus far. The Aggies sit in a tie for first place in the SEC and own a near-perfect 8-1 record on their home floor.

Much of this success can be attributed to an offense that ranks 27th nationally in adjusted efficiency thanks to its ability to dominate teams on the offensive glass. The Aggies boast the ninth-highest offensive rebounding percentage, creating second chances on 37.3% of possessions.

That has allowed the Aggies to average 76.2 points per game despite playing at a methodical pace. Texas A&M ranks 216th nationally in adjusted tempo, averaging just 67.2 possessions per game.

Although they've been successful offensively, the Aggies stole a win in Gainesville due to their ability to create pressure defensively. A&M racked up 10 steals in the first matchup, contributing to Florida's 20 total turnovers.

Overall, I expect some positive turnover regression from a Florida team that has averaged just 10.7 turnovers per game in its three games since losing to the Aggies.

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Florida vs. Texas A&M Betting Pick

We've reached the point in the season where teams will be facing opponents they've already seen once this season.

In this case, Florida will be looking for revenge after failing to force overtime against Texas A&M. This revenge-minded Gators team will have an opportunity to build on a performance that saw some uncharacteristic mistakes in a few key areas.

The Gators had eight more turnovers than their season average in the first matchup and gave up a season-high 28 free-throw attempts.

That being said, I expect a Florida team that's on a three-game win streak to keep this game close against a team it's familiar with.

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