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CBB Sharp Report: Pros Betting UL Monroe-LSU, 3 Other Friday Games

Dec 28, 2018 5:20 PM EST
Credit:

Furman Paladins forward Noah Gurley (4) is fouled by LSU Tigers forward Kavell Bigby-Williams (11) and forward Emmitt Williams (24). Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

  • Wiseguys are betting four college basketball games on Friday, headlined by UL Monroe-LSU (8 p.m. ET, SEC Network).
  • Sharps are also getting down on Austin Peay-Arkansas (8 p.m. ET, SEC Nework), Denver U-Omaha (8:30 p.m. ET) and South Dakota-North Dakota State (9 p.m. ET, ESPN+).
  • Using the tools available at The Action Network, we analyze how the pros are betting each game.

The long holiday hiatus is finally over.  College basketball is back! With football winding down, sharps will begin transitioning to college and professional hoops full-time. The march to the madness is officially underway.

After examining today’s 17-game slate using betting tools available at Sports Insights and The Action Network, I’ve identified four games that pros are betting on Friday night, with games starting at 8 p.m. ET, 8:30 p.m. ET and 9 p.m. ET.


>> All odds as of 3:15 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college basketball odds and track your bets


Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.

Full Sports Betting Glossary


UL Monroe at LSU

8 p.m. ET | SEC Network+

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 144.5 to 142.5)

Recreational bettors tend to focus on two stats when betting a total: points per game and points allowed. If both teams have high-scoring offenses, take the over. If they boast stifling defenses, take the under.

UL Monroe averages 74.27 PPG on offense, while LSU averages 80.67 PPG. Add both numbers up and they equal 154.94.

This total opened at 144.5. So take the over, right? Not so fast, say the sharps.

Betting percentages are split 50/50 but more than 80% of dollars are on the under. Sharps hammered the Under 144.5 and 143.5, triggering a pair of steam moves via Sports Insights’ Bet Signals that dropped the total to 142.5.

Austin Peay at Arkansas

8 p.m. ET | SEC Network+

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