Duke vs. North Carolina Opening Odds: Line Moves Toward Blue Devils
Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images. Pictured: Duke’s Paolo Banchero vs. UNC
- The Duke-North Carolina spread has moved half a point since opening on Sunday night, with the Blue Devils favored by 4.5 points and the total at 151.5.
- Duke was a double-digit favorite in the final game of the regular season when UNC won outright at Cameron Indoor Stadium.
- Get opening odds, our projected lines and our early betting take below.
Duke vs. North Carolina Odds
| Duke Odds | -4.5 | |
| North Carolina Odds | +4.5 | |
| Over/Under | 151.5 | |
| Tipoff | 8:49 p.m. ET on Saturday | |
| Opening odds for Duke vs. UNC via BetMGM. | ||
The Final Four is set! New Orleans will showcase the historic rivalry between Duke and North Carolina as legendary head coach Mike Krzyzewski looks to keep his retirement tour rolling all the way to the national championship.
Find our expert's projected odds and more about how these teams match up below.
Projected Duke vs. North Carolina Odds
| Projected Duke Odds | -4 | |
| Projected North Carolina Odds | +4 | |
| Projected Over/Under | 154.5 | |
| Projections as of March 27. Find the latest Final Four projections here. | ||
Duke vs. North Carolina Matchup Matrix
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Duke and North Carolina match up statistically. Data via KenPom as of Sunday, March 13:
Duke Offense vs. North Carolina Defense
 |  Offense |  Defense |  Edge |
| eFG% | 9 | 134 | |
| Turnover % | 21 | 347 | |
| Rebound Rate | 58 | 2 | |
| Free Throw Rate | 236 | 10 | |
North Carolina Offense vs. Duke Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| eFG% | 72 | 42 | |
| Turnover % | 60 | 309 | |
| Rebound Rate | 89 | 217 | |
| Free Throw Rate | 176 | 2 | |
Pace of Play
| | |
| Tempo | 168 | 32 |
More About Duke
Kody Malstrom: Duke may not be the powerhouse it once appeared to be, but don’t be fooled. The Blue Devils are still far-and-away the No. 1 team coming out of the ACC.
With five weapons on the floor at all times, the Blue Devils have one of the most versatile offensive attacks in the nation. ACC freshman phenom Paolo Banchero has star ability. He averaged 17.1 points, 7.7 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game during the regular season.
Banchero doesn’t have to do it himself, though, as this team is loaded with talent.
Wendell Moore Jr. has been a viable No. 2 all season with 13.1 points per game. Three others are also putting up points in the double digits, including Trevor Keels, Mark Williams and AJ Griffin.
The above was written heading into the men's 2022 NCAA Tournament.
More About North Carolina
Kody Malstrom: North Carolina is one of the biggest wildcards in all of college basketball this season.
Winning at Cameron Indoor in Coach K’s last home game was impressive, but dominating the game (per ShotQuality) is even more stunning. The Heels are a talented team, but what makes that result shocking is how their defense performed. Sure, Paolo Banchero had a layup drill anytime he had one-on-one coverage, but that’s the price to pay if it means limiting Duke’s other weapons.
This is still a scorching hot, high-powered North Carolina offense that can shoot its way to a run — or shoot itself into an early exit in a tournament. The Heels can keep up the scoring pace with the best of them, as they rank high in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency.
The above was written heading into the men's 2022 NCAA Tournament.
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