Duke vs. North Carolina Opening Odds: Line Moves Toward Blue Devils

Duke vs. North Carolina Opening Odds: Line Moves Toward Blue Devils article feature image

Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images. Pictured: Duke’s Paolo Banchero vs. UNC

  • The Duke-North Carolina spread has moved half a point since opening on Sunday night, with the Blue Devils favored by 4.5 points and the total at 151.5.
  • Duke was a double-digit favorite in the final game of the regular season when UNC won outright at Cameron Indoor Stadium.
  • Get opening odds, our projected lines and our early betting take below.

Duke vs. North Carolina Odds

Duke Odds-4.5
North Carolina Odds+4.5
Tipoff8:49 p.m. ET on Saturday
Opening odds for Duke vs. UNC via BetMGM.

The Final Four is set! New Orleans will showcase the historic rivalry between Duke and North Carolina as legendary head coach Mike Krzyzewski looks to keep his retirement tour rolling all the way to the national championship.

Find our expert's projected odds and more about how these teams match up below.

Projected Duke vs. North Carolina Odds

Projected Duke Odds-4
Projected North Carolina Odds+4
Projected Over/Under154.5
Projections as of March 27. Find the latest Final Four projections here.
The ultimate CBB betting cheat code

Tail the sharpest bettors in the world

Profitable data-driven system picks

Model predictions for every game

Duke vs. North Carolina Matchup Matrix

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Duke and North Carolina match up statistically. Data via KenPom as of Sunday, March 13:

Duke Offense vs. North Carolina Defense
Turnover %21347
Rebound Rate582
Free Throw Rate23610

North Carolina Offense vs. Duke Defense
Turnover %60309
Rebound Rate89217
Free Throw Rate1762

Pace of Play

More About Duke

Kody Malstrom: Duke may not be the powerhouse it once appeared to be, but don’t be fooled. The Blue Devils are still far-and-away the No. 1 team coming out of the ACC.

With five weapons on the floor at all times, the Blue Devils have one of the most versatile offensive attacks in the nation. ACC freshman phenom Paolo Banchero has star ability. He averaged 17.1 points, 7.7 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game during the regular season.

Banchero doesn’t have to do it himself, though, as this team is loaded with talent.

Wendell Moore Jr. has been a viable No. 2 all season with 13.1 points per game. Three others are also putting up points in the double digits, including Trevor Keels, Mark Williams and AJ Griffin.

The above was written heading into the men's 2022 NCAA Tournament.

The must-have app for college basketball bettors

The best NCAAB betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

More About North Carolina

Kody Malstrom: North Carolina is one of the biggest wildcards in all of college basketball this season.

Winning at Cameron Indoor in Coach K’s last home game was impressive, but dominating the game (per ShotQuality) is even more stunning. The Heels are a talented team, but what makes that result shocking is how their defense performed. Sure, Paolo Banchero had a layup drill anytime he had one-on-one coverage, but that’s the price to pay if it means limiting Duke’s other weapons.

This is still a scorching hot, high-powered North Carolina offense that can shoot its way to a run — or shoot itself into an early exit in a tournament. The Heels can keep up the scoring pace with the best of them, as they rank high in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency.

The above was written heading into the men's 2022 NCAA Tournament.

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.