The Ole Miss Rebels play the Texas Longhorns in the first round of the SEC Tournament. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Texas is favored by 6.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -280. The total is set at 145 points.
Here are my Ole Miss vs. Texas predictions and college basketball picks for March 11, 2026.
Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction
My Pick: Over 145
My Ole Miss vs Texas best bet is on the Over. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Ole Miss vs. Texas Odds
| Ole Miss Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 145 -110o / -110u | +230 |
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 145 -110o / -110u | -280 |
- Ole Miss vs Texas spread: Texas -6.5
- Ole Miss vs Texas over/under: 145 points
- Ole Miss vs Texas moneyline: Ole Miss +230, Texas -280
Ole Miss vs Texas College Basketball Betting Preview
After a slow start to the year, Texas appeared to play itself off the bubble, starting 8-5 in the SEC.
However, it dropped four of its final five games to close the regular season at 18-13 entering the SEC Tournament.
Texas still may be smarting from an overtime loss to rival Oklahoma on Saturday, though it may take some solace in its lone recent win coming against Texas A&M.
Most projections now have the Longhorns as either a 10 or 11 seed, and they are one of Lunardi's last four byes. They may be safely in the field with a win on Wednesday, and they will take on an Ole Miss team they defeated 79-68 in Austin last month.
Texas managed to win that game despite just seven points from leading scorer Dailyn Swain.
Sophomore center Matas Vokietaitas led the way with 27 points on 9-for-10 shooting from the field, combining with Tramon Mark and Jordan Pope for 59 of the team's points.
The Longhorns shot 53% from the field, which is not out of the norm. They rank 10th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency this season.
The Longhorns play at a slower pace, and so does Ole Miss.
However, that has not stopped Rebels' games from going Over. Nine of their past 10 games have landed Over, and they are allowing 85.8 points per game during that stretch.
Ole Miss has lost 12 of its 13 games, and its defense is likely why it will not make the NCAA Tournament, as it ranks 73rd nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency.
However, it will have the better defense in this game, as Texas is 109th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 10th in SEC play.
The Longhorns do not force many turnovers, nor do they guard the 3-point line well. They have allowed 84 points in five of their past six games and have gone 7-3 to the Over in their past 10 games.
KenPom projects 152 points for tonight's matchup.
My Pick: Over 145
