The Tarleton State Texans take on the Cincinnati Bearcats in Cincinnati, OH. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Cincinnati is favored by -18.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -2800. The total is set at 147.5 points.
Here’s my Tarleton State vs. Cincinnati predictions and college basketball picks for December 1, 2025.
Tarleton State vs Cincinnati Prediction
My Pick: Over 146
My Tarleton State vs Cincinnati best bet is on the over. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Tarleton State vs. Cincinnati Odds
| Tarleton State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+18.5 -110 | 147.5 -110o / -110u | +1300 |
| Cincinnati Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-18.5 -110 | 147.5 -110o / -110u | -2800 |
- Tarleton State vs Cincinnati spread: Cincinnati -18.5
- Tarleton State vs Cincinnati over/under: 146 points
- Tarleton State vs Cincinnati moneyline: Tarleton State +1300, Cincinnati -2800
Tarleton State vs Cincinnati College Basketball Betting Preview
Cincinnati returns home Monday looking to rebound from a puzzling loss to Eastern Michigan, and the matchup with Tarleton State sets up as a strong opportunity for the offense to get back on track.
The Bearcats are still 5-1 at home and typically handle business comfortably in their own building, even as injuries to Baba Miller and Jalen Celestine have forced them into unfamiliar lineups.
Tarleton State enters on a three-game winning streak and brings an offense that’s been far more productive than its reputation.
The Texans are scoring 76.5 points per game behind the explosive play of Dior Johnson, who’s averaging 23.6 points, and they tend to create high-possession environments due to a defense that gives up 76.3 points per outing.
That profile should benefit a Cincinnati team that averages 75.4 points and is unlikely to repeat the disjointed shooting performance it showed before Thanksgiving.
This matchup aligns with Evan Abrams’ “Home Overs with Steam” system, which highlights overs in winter-month NCAAB games (including December) where sharp money pushes totals upward on strong home favorites.
When the number rises, it signals respected bettors identifying pace or efficiency mismatches. Cincinnati fits that mold: a sizable home favorite capable of dictating tempo against a team already comfortable playing fast and scoring freely.
With both offenses positioned to exceed their season averages, the over is the most appealing angle.
My Pick: Over 146
