UConn vs Purdue Spread: 57% National Championship Model Prediction

UConn vs Purdue Spread: 57% National Championship Model Prediction article feature image
Credit:

Tristen Newton #2, Donovan Clingan #32, Stephon Castle #5 and Cam Spencer #12 of the Connecticut Huskies. (Photo by Jack Dempsey/NCAA Photos via Getty Images)

UConn vs. Purdue National Championship Spread | April 8

Monday, Apr 8
9:20pm ET
TBS
Purdue Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+6.5
-108
144.5
-110o / -110u
+235
UConn Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-6.5
-112
144.5
-110o / -110u
-295
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAB odds here.

The biggest game of the 2023-24 men's college basketball season fits one of the best betting trends in PRO.

Monday's UConn vs. Purdue national championship spread matches a situational betting angle that has predicted which team will cover at a 57% clip lifetime. It accounts for spread range, previous game results and more.

UConn and Purdue have not only stayed alive through the NCAA Tournament, they're both perfect against the spread entering the highly anticipated April 8 clash at State Farm Stadium.

Head coach Dan Hurley and the reigning champion Huskies cleared every betting line en route to last year's title. Matt Painter's Purdue squad, meanwhile, is finding a groove defensively. The Boilermakers haven't allowed more than 70 points in any tourney game this year.

UConn and Purdue both covered and won by double digits in respective Final Four wins Saturday. There's one, blatant stat in particular across those two box scores that essentially triggers the 57% model prediction against the spread for Monday's Huskies vs. Boilermakers title game.


Did you know? Underdogs in the NCAA Tournament that gave up 60 points or fewer in the previous game have covered the betting spread at a 57% clip. Monday's angle supports the Purdue Boilermakers, who held NC State to half a hundred in a 63-50 Final Four win.