UConn vs San Diego State Sharp Pick: Thursday’s Smart Sweet 16 Pick

UConn vs San Diego State Sharp Pick: Thursday’s Smart Sweet 16 Pick article feature image
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Pictured: Jaedon Ledee (San Diego State), Donovan Clingan (UConn) (Photo by Jack Dempsey/NCAA Photos via Getty Images)

Thursday's UConn vs. San Diego State Sharp Pick

Thursday, Mar 28
7:39pm ET
TBS/truTV
San Diego State Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+11
-110
135.5
-112o / -108u
+455
UConn Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-11
-110
135.5
-112o / -108u
-625
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAB odds here.

Thursday's smart Sweet 16 bet for UConn vs. San Diego State is against the spread. Let's lock in for last year's title rematch with a premium pick from a top-rated angle.

Thursday's UConn vs. San Diego State line is in range to activate a 57% men's basketball NCAA Tournament betting system – and the trend strongly highlights defensive teams.

UConn's defense has allowed fewer than 58 points in all three games since the Big East Championship. Dan Hurley's reigning national title squad is also hot against the spread: 8-1 the last nine, which includes covering both NCAA Tournament games as large favorites.

San Diego State's stifling defense let up just 57 points in the Aztecs' most recent win and cover. Last year, the Huskies covered the spread in a game that also went over the total.


There's one side in the UConn vs. San Diego State rematch being heavily undervalued when looking at teams which historically cover in this spot. Action Network PRO features a 57%-winning betting model, which is alerted to bet: