Toledo vs. Michigan St Odds & Betting Predictions - September 5, 2026
Toledo at Michigan St
12:00 am • Fox Sports 1Toledo at Michigan St Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toledo 2-1 | +10.5 | +10.5-114 | o48.5-108 | +340 |
 Michigan St 2-1 | u48.5 | -10.5-106 | u48.5-112 | -450 |
Spartan StadiumEast Lansing
Toledo vs. Michigan St Expert Picks
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 65-38-1 (+18.8u)
TOL +16.5 (Live)-114
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 88-75-1 (+0.5u)
MSU -9.5-115
0.87u
John Feltman
Last 30d: 59-51-1 (+0.6u)
TOL +10.5-115
0.5u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 46-43-1 (+2.1u)
MSU -10-115
1u
Kinda like the QB
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 59-60-0 (+7.5u)
MSU -9.5+102
0.51u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 75-57-1 (+31.2u)
MSU -9.5-120
1.5u
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 219-185-2 (+19.6u)
Under 47.5-110
1.38u
Big Bets On Campus (CFB)
Last 30d: 45-37-0 (+7.7u)
TOL +10.5-112
0.89u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 296-321-12 (+8.3u)
C.Edwards Anytime TD Scorer Yes-160
0.5u
Under 47.5-110
0.55u
Road to CFB
Last 30d: 23-12-0 (+9.7u)
MSU -9.5-108
1u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network.
Topper
Last 30d: 178-190-5 (-21.0u)
Under 49.5-110
1u
Low Total Night Game Unders Early szn
Overall: 232-161-6,59% (ROI:14%)
Season:12-11-0,52% (ROI:-1%)
Home Fav Unders Early szn (***)
Overall: 340-234-6,59% (ROI:14%)
Season:20-11-0,65% (ROI:23%)
#TSA
Duck
Last 30d: 64-51-0 (+3.0u)
MSU -10.5-110
1.1u
There is actually a little bit to like here with MSU as Millivojevic is back at QB, cam Edwards comes in at RB, tight end room/OL looks athletic and have good size.
Defense has some nice pieces coming in via the transfer portal. Secondary looks good. DC and STC hires are solid.
Toledo will be okay in the MAC but I do worry about them in this first game. I don’t love John Allen at QB for Toledo and the Mercer flavor does lead me to believe this is going to take some time to get going.
Toledo is going to be a darling dog in week 1 and their prior performances against p4 warrants the respect, but this is a completely different team. Thrashed LY (Mercer was) by auburn and Univ. of Sou Dakota (FCS Playoffs)
I think Michigan State is significantly better equipped in the trenches and they will win this game by two or three touchdowns
Toledo vs. Michigan St Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Toledo vs. Michigan St Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Michigan St are 2-1 in their last 5 games.
- Michigan St are 2-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Michigan St are 1-0 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Michigan St' last 3 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Michigan St' 2 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| 2-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 3-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | N/A | N/A | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| 2-1 | N/A | N/A | 2-0 | 0-1 |
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
273
Total Yards
397
41
Total Plays
83
6.658536585365853
Yards Per Play
4.783132530120482
196
YDS
247
12/21
Comps/Atts
26/34
9.333333333333334
YPA
7.264705882352941
2/1
TDs/INTs
1/0
2/18
Sacks/Yards
3/24
7/39
Penalties/Yards
4/43
Toledo vs. Michigan St Odds Comparison
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Toledo at Michigan St Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Toledo 2-1 | N/A | N/A |
Michigan St 2-1 | N/A | N/A |