Projected College Football Bowl Matchups Entering Week 12
Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: PJ Fleck
- Below you'll find projected matchups, along with projected spreads, for all 2019 college football bowl games.
- Saturday's results shook up the projections, as both Alabama and Penn State saw their CFP odds fall substantially with losses.
Saturday certainly lived up to the hype.
With Alabama and Penn State both going down, our bowl projections were due for a good shakeup. Virginia also vaulted itself back into the Orange Bowl, while the Pac-12 could have two New Year’s Six representatives.
You’ll find the projection for every game below, plus projected point spreads on those matchups via our oddsmaker-style power ratings. Action EDGE members can use them to get any line between any two teams.
2019 College Football Bowl Projections
CFP & New Year’s Six Bowls
Minnesota mucked up a perfectly clear Rose Bowl picture by knocking off Penn State. We still have the Gophers as underdogs at Iowa and Wisconsin, and losses in those games would likely send the Badgers to the Big Ten title game. But since Minnesota has a two-game lead in the Big Ten West, we’ll stick them in the Rose Bowl.
As for the College Football Playoff, there’s just too much left to be decided to have a concrete guess at the No. 4 team. The way it’s shaping up, Ohio State, Clemson and LSU all have a greater than 70% chance, but the final spot is very much up for grabs.
If Oklahoma wins out, it will have possibly two wins over Baylor and another over Oklahoma State. That could be enough to boost their resume.
There are still so many scenarios in play — like Georgia winning the SEC title, a one-loss Pac-12 champion getting in, or Alabama somehow sneaking into the top 4.
Every Other Bowl Game
Trying to make accurate bowl projection is much harder than it looks, I assure you.
Not only that, but a few conferences are shaping up to not fill all their games because of current records and potential New Year’s Six slots. The SEC, for example, could be a short a team with three in the NY6. The AAC could also be short if its champion represents the Group of Five in the NY6, like we project Memphis to do.
There’s still also so much to be decided between teams on the cusp of six wins. So if you’re a fan of a team like Texas Tech, Cal, TCU, Washington State, etc., you can dispel these projections with a few wins down the stretch. You just may not be favored in those games, which is why you’re left out for now.
Action EDGE members can use our betting-style power ratings to project point spreads between any two teams, including in remaining regular season games and bowls.
2019 Bowl Game Tie-Ins
Peach Bowl — CFP Semifinal
Fiesta Bowl — CFP Semifinal
Sugar Bowl — SEC vs. Big 12
Rose Bowl — Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Orange Bowl — ACC vs. SEC/Big Ten/ND
Cotton Bowl — at-large vs. at-large
Mobile Bowl — MAC vs. Sun Belt
Armed Forces Bowl — Big Ten vs. Mountain West
Potato Bowl — MAC vs. Mountain West
Gator Bowl — Big Ten vs. SEC
Birmingham Bowl — American vs. SEC
Citrus Bowl — ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC
Outback Bowl — Big Ten vs. SEC
Alamo Bowl — Big 12 vs. Pac-12
Arizona Bowl — Mountain West vs. Sun Belt
Liberty Bowl — Big 12 vs. SEC
Sun Bowl — ACC vs. Pac-12
Belk Bowl — ACC vs. SEC
Redbox Bowl — Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Music City Bowl — ACC vs. SEC
First Responder Bowl — Big 12 vs. C-USA
Camping World Bowl — ACC vs. Big 12
Cheez-It Bowl — Big 12 vs. Pac-12
Holiday Bowl — Big Ten vs. Pac-12
Texas Bowl — Big 12 vs. SEC
Pinstripe Bowl — ACC vs. Big Ten
Military Bowl — ACC vs. American
Quick Lane Bowl — ACC vs. Big Ten
Independence Bowl — ACC vs. SEC
Hawaii Bowl — BYU vs. American
Gasparilla Bowl — American/ACC vs. C-USA
New Orleans Bowl — C-USA vs. Sun Belt
Las Vegas Bowl — Mountain West vs. Pac-12
Camellia Bowl — MAC vs. Sun Belt
Boca Raton Bowl — American/C-USA/MAC
Cure Bowl — American vs. Sun Belt
New Mexico Bowl — C-USA vs. Mountain West
Frisco Bowl — American vs. C-USA/MAC/Mountain West
Bahamas Bowl — C-USA vs. MAC