Boston College vs Wake Forest Odds, Picks, Predictions | Blowout Expected?
Andy Mead/ISI Photos/Getty Images. Pictured: Wake Forest quarterback Sam Hartman.
Boston College vs. Wake Forest Odds
| Boston College Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+20.5 -110 | 60.5 -105o / -115u | +860 |
| Wake Forest Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-20.5 -110 | 60.5 -105o / -115u | -1600 |
Boston College looks to salvage its season as it travels to face off against conference foe Wake Forest on Saturday afternoon.
The Eagles are just 2-4 on the season and see their potential for a bowl berth slipping from their grasp.
Disappointment is an understatement. The Eagles had high hopes after quarterback Phil Jurkovec bypassed the NFL Draft for the fifth year. That decision may have cost Jurkovec a pretty penny, as his numbers have significantly declined this season.
Meanwhile, the Demon Deacons jumped up to No. 13 in the AP Poll this week after a wild week of upsets. Wake Forest is 5-1 with its sole loss coming in double-overtime to Clemson.
Boston College’s success is solely reliant on Jurkovec and the passing attack. If last year’s matchup is any indication for this game, it could be a long night for the Eagles.
Boston College Eagles
It’s been a tough first half of the season for the Boston College football program. The group has only found victories against an FCS school and Louisville when Malik Cunningham missed the fourth quarter.
In their four losses, the Eagles have been outscored by an average score of 31-12.
Boston College's success is directly related to the play of Jurkovec. Jurkovec has passed for over 300 yards twice this season, which came in the team’s only two victories.
But in the four losses, Jurkovec has averaged 170 passing yards per game and 5.2 yards per attempt. He’s tossed five touchdowns to go along with five interceptions and has made some head-scratching decisions.
Phil Jurkovec avoids the sack and… THROWS THE BALL BACKWARDS[ LOUISVILLE RECOVERS LOL pic.twitter.com/AHWBjSaq0H
— Mr Matthew CFB (@MrMatthewCFB) October 1, 2022
It doesn’t help that the Eagles lost all five starters on the offensive line. That group has led a nonexistent rushing attack that averages an abysmal 2.2 yards per carry this season.
The Eagles have rushed for less than 35 yards in half of their games this season. In addition, the line has allowed just shy of four sacks per game.
The sole bright spot of the Boston College offense has been superstar receiver Zay Flowers. The senior is averaging 93 receiving yards per game while coming down with five touchdowns.
DOUBLE COVERAGE. DON’T MATTER 😤
Zay Flowers oh my
(via @BCFootball) pic.twitter.com/07wacfpZhZ
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) October 1, 2022
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
The Wake Forest offense hasn’t missed a beat from last season, owning a top-10 scoring offense that averages over 40 points per game.
The Demon Deacons have scored 31 or more points in every game while being led by one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the nation Sam Hartman.
Through five games, the redshirt junior has tossed 16 touchdowns to only two interceptions. He lit up Clemson's defense, throwing for 337 yards on only 29 attempts while throwing six touchdowns.
Wake Forest continues to try to run the ball with a rush rate of 56%, but it's averaging 3.7 yards per carry. It’s hard not to want to pass the ball more often with Hartman at the helm averaging 9.4 yards per pass attempt.
Defensively the group is holding opponents to 25 points per game. If there's a weakness to this unit, it's the secondary that allows 7.2 yards per pass attempt. Boston College will likely take its deep shots against this unit if Jurkovec has time.
Boston College vs. Wake Forest Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Boston College and Wake Forest match up statistically:
Boston College Offense vs. Wake Forest Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 126 | 42 | |
| Line Yards | 131 | 63 | |
| Pass Success | 117 | 64 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 100 | 1 | |
| Havoc | 127 | 9 | |
| Finishing Drives | 112 | 41 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Wake Forest Offense vs. Boston College Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 77 | 55 | |
| Line Yards | 78 | 16 | |
| Pass Success | 16 | 36 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 42 | 86 | |
| Havoc | 38 | 78 | |
| Finishing Drives | 3 | 76 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 63 | 75 |
| PFF Coverage | 111 | 20 |
| SP+ Special Teams | 89 | 40 |
| Seconds per Play | 27.3 (87) | 23.5 (19) |
| Rush Rate | 47.8% (100) | 55.8% (50) |
Data via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.
Boston College vs. Wake Forest Betting Pick
You may think you have a hole in your pocket if you’ve been betting on Boston College this season. The Eagles have covered the spread in only one game, which was its upset victory over Louisville.
Meanwhile, Wake Forest is 5-1 against the spread this season, and that trend is set to continue in this matchup.
The Boston College offense is successful when Jurkovec can find receivers down the field. The issue is that the Eagles pose no threat on the ground, averaging 2.2 yards per carry.
Teams can put pressure on Jurkovec without even blitzing, and the Eagles have proven they have no answers to stop that. Now, they match up against the best defensive pass rush in the nation.
Last year, Wake Forest dismantled Boston College, 41-10, and outgained it by 231 yards. Jurkovec had the worst game of his career completing 3-of-11 passes for 19 yards with two interceptions.
With a team so reliant on him as the main source to move the chains, it is going to be a long day.
Wake Forest’s offense is one of the most efficient in the country and will jump out to an early lead without looking back.
Pick: Wake Forest -20.5 ⋅ Play to -21 |
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