Army vs. Wake Forest Odds & Picks: Demon Deacons to Dominate

Army vs. Wake Forest Odds & Picks: Demon Deacons to Dominate article feature image

Photo by Andy Mead/ISI Photos/Getty Images. Pictured: Sam Hartman (Wake Forest)

  • The Army Black Knights take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in a Saturday night college football matchup.
  • The Deacs enter as double-digit favorites behind the arm of quarterback Sam Hartman.
  • Doug Ziefel breaks down this game and shares his top betting pick below.

Army vs. Wake Forest Odds

Saturday, Oct. 8
7:30 p.m. ET
Army Odds
-110o / -110u
Wake Forest Odds
-110o / -110u
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

Slingin' Sam Hartman and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will play host to the Army Black Knights this week.

The Deacons got back on track last week with a victory over a ranked Florida State squad. With Hartman at the helm, Wake Forest now boasts one of the most prolific offenses in the country, and it may be one that its opposition can't keep up with.

Speaking of the Deacs' opposition, Army has gotten off to a rough start this season despite having a tremendous amount of success with its triple-option offense.

Wake Forest will be the Black Knights' toughest test to date, and judging by their past performances, it may take a valiant effort to compete in this matchup.

If that's the case, can the Demon Deacons cover the spread? Let's take a closer look to find out.

Army Black Knights

Just like other military schools, Army runs a predictable — yet effective — offense. The Knights' triple-option has been one of the best this season amongst their military compatriots, yet it has not led to many victories.

Still, they'll present a unique challenge, as they come in with the 12th-highest Rushing Success Rate in the country.

Wake Forest will have had a week to prepare, which will undoubtedly help, as it's been middle of the road in terms of defending the rush this season. The Demon Deacons are 62nd in opponent yards per rush allowed and 55th in Rushing Success Rate.

However, the Demon Deacons have a significant edge in the talent department and will become more adjusted as the game progresses.

The key for Wake to slow the Army offense down is to get it into third-and-long situations. If the Black Knights get going, they will matriculate down the field. That is shown in their rank of 13th in Offensive Finishing Drives.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

This game will be decided when Wake Forest has the ball. As I alluded to in the open, Hartman has made Wake one of the nation's most feared offenses.

Through four games, Hartman holds a 15-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio and is 22nd nationally in QBR.

While Wake Forest has one of the best quarterbacks in the country, it runs the ball 55% of the time. The backfield duo of Justice Ellison and Christian Turner have not gotten a ton going on the ground this year, but they may run wild against the Black Knights.

Army's defense will determine just how ugly this game can get on the scoreboard. The Black Knights have been shredded defensively, allowing an average of 36.7 points per game and over 469 yards per game. Those numbers are good for 113th and 115th in the country, respectively.

It will be interesting to see just how well Hartman does against this Army secondary that ranks 126th in both opponent completion percentage allowed and yards per pass.

Army vs. Wake Forest Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Army and Wake Forest match up statistically:

Army Offense vs. Wake Forest Defense
Rush Success1255
Line Yards2247
Pass Success8676
Pass Blocking**1214
Finishing Drives4677
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Wake Forest Offense vs. Army Defense
Rush Success125125
Line Yards107128
Pass Success5124
Pass Blocking**5197
Finishing Drives1383
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling9677
PFF Coverage10422
SP+ Special Teams4240
Seconds per Play29.6 (123)23.7 (20)
Rush Rate86.2% (2)54.1% (66)
Data via (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus, and SportSource Analytics.

Army vs. Wake Forest Betting Pick

Even though the spread may not portray it, this is one of the biggest mismatches on the slate.

Army's defense has been ravaged against far less potent offenses than Wake Forest's. So while the triple option may help the Black Knights take time off of the clock, Wake Forest may not need much time to put up crooked numbers.

The market has recognized this mismatch as well, as we've seen the spread rise from 14.5 to 16.5. Getting the spread under the key number of 17 would be ideal, but I'd be comfortable laying 17 in this matchup — it may get there by kickoff.

Back the Demon Deacons in what should be a rout.

Pick: Wake Forest -16.5 (Play to 17)

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