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College Football Picks, Predictions: Expert Week 0 Early Bet for New Mexico State vs Florida State

College Football Picks, Predictions: Expert Week 0 Early Bet for New Mexico State vs Florida State article feature image
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IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect. Pictured: Florida State WR Duce Robinson.

Welcome back, college football.

Week 0 kicks off this week, and Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson is looking to start the season off strong with an early bet for New Mexico State vs. Florida State on Saturday's slate.

Let's dive into Wilson's college football picks and NCAAF predictions for New Mexico State vs. Florida State in Week 0 below.


New Mexico State vs Florida State Odds

New Mexico State Logo
Saturday, Aug. 29
7 p.m. ET
The CW
Florida State Logo
New Mexico State Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+30.5
-105
52.5
-115o / -105u
+2800
Florida State Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-30.5
-115
52.5
-115o / -105u
-10000
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
FanDuel Logo

Look no further than Tallahassee when it comes to a Power 4 host looking to slam a Group of 6 school team into the ground.

Florida State head coach Mike Norvell has gone 38-34 in his six-year tenure at Florida State and finds himself squarely on the hot seat after back-to-back losing seasons.

The former Memphis coach has preached about mental toughness and a fast start to the season when New Mexico State comes to town in Week 0.

The Lobos finished with the worst rushing offense in the FBS a season ago, averaging only 77.3 rushing yards per game on just 2.6 yards per carry.

Tony Sanchez enters his third year in Las Cruces off a 4-8 season.

A new signal-caller will take over under center, with Trey Hedden winning the starting role after transferring from Furman. The junior is no stranger to a crowded pocket, receiving 119 pressures in 419 passing attempts for the Paladins.

Offensive coordinator David Yost must improve an offense that finished bottom-five in both Rushing Success Rate and Offensive Line Yards.

The Seminoles defense should be in line to record multiple Havoc plays, potentially providing new quarterback Ashton Daniels with quality field position. The fifth-year senior has plenty to prove after a disastrous season at Auburn in 2025.

There has also been position news from fall camp, as linebacker Mikai Gbayor and wide receiver Jayvan Boggs will be available for the opener.

Although Norvell has preached about the roster's tremendous embrace of the mental challenges of the game, Florida State has started the season off hot in the first half in recent years.

Over the past two seasons, Norvell has logged first-half team totals of 17 and 14 in openers against Alabama and Georgia Tech, respectively.

The expectation is for Ashton Daniels and the Florida State offense to name their score by halftime. A vanilla second half can be expected with conference rival SMU visiting in Week 1.

Pick: Florida State 1H -17.5 (FanDuel)

Author Profile
About the Author

Collin is a senior writer for the Action Network, but serves in various roles behind the scenes as well. As someone who specializes in data visualization of probabilities, power ratings, and head-to-head matchups, Collin’s work within the college football space powers the Action Network’s PRO projections throughout the college football season, and has done so since the birth of the app in 2017. Collin contributes similarly to the college basketball vertical, and his passion for predictive analytics have led him to become a key force in finding betting edges in more niche markets such as professional wrestling and entertainment awards.

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