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College Football Picks, Havoc Rankings: Our Week 8 Prediction for Baylor vs. Kansas

College Football Picks, Havoc Rankings: Our Week 8 Prediction for Baylor vs. Kansas article feature image
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IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect. Pictured: Baylor S Micah Gifford.

Welcome to our weekly Havoc Rankings, where the volatility of offenses and defenses will be graded for potential wagering.

New Mexico has run away with the lead in Defensive Havoc, dominating the Mountain West with 54 tackles for loss and 28 passes defensed.

The safest offense continues to be the rush-heavy Air Force attack, failing to drop a single fumble this season. The Falcons have allowed just 13 tackles for loss, eclipsed only by the offensive lines of Miami and BYU.

For those unfamiliar, Havoc is the collection of stats that can derail offensive momentum on the defensive side of the ball, including tackles for loss, pass breakups, forced fumbles, interceptions, and sacks.

Havoc allowed, meanwhile, is a stat used to quantify an offense's ability to avoid chaos that creates a negative play. Offenses that are elite in Havoc allowed have a low number of fumbles, interceptions, and tackles for loss allowed.

Let's take a look at our college football picks for Baylor vs. Kansas and Week 8 Havoc Rankings for the upcoming week.


College Football Picks, Havoc Rankings

Baylor vs. Kansas Odds

Baylor Logo
Saturday, Oct. 24
1 p.m. ET
TNT
Kansas Logo
Baylor Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2.5
-122
53.5
-108o / -112u
-140
Kansas Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2.5
+100
53.5
-108o / -112u
+116
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
FanDuel Logo

There's a massive discrepancy in the Big 12 between the Baylor defense and the Kansas offense.

Baylor defensive coordinator Joe Klanderman has transformed the Bears' defense, as none of its first six opponents scored 20 or more points.

A top-10 Defensive Havoc ranking can be attributed to Baylor’s strength in tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forcing five fumbles on the season.

Fumbles have been a big concern for the Kansas offense, which has already dropped 10 on the carpet this season.

The Jayhawks have one of the more explosive and highly combustible quarterbacks in college football in Isaiah Marshall.

The sophomore has excelled in coordinator Andy Kotelnicki’s offense this season, thriving on the downfield pass with an electric 29% big-time throw rate on 41 attempts beyond 20 yards.

The issue comes in the game-changing mistakes: committing six fumbles and only five interceptions on 11 turnover-worthy plays.

Expect Klanderman to throw a few kinks in disguised coverage to take advantage of Marshall’s penchant for deep throws.

The Kansas offense has been an exciting watch this season, but the Baylor defense has put half of its 2026 schedule in a defensive grinder this season. That shouldn't stop in Week 8.

Pick: Baylor -3

Author Profile
About the Author

Collin is a senior writer for the Action Network, but serves in various roles behind the scenes as well. As someone who specializes in data visualization of probabilities, power ratings, and head-to-head matchups, Collin’s work within the college football space powers the Action Network’s PRO projections throughout the college football season, and has done so since the birth of the app in 2017. Collin contributes similarly to the college basketball vertical, and his passion for predictive analytics have led him to become a key force in finding betting edges in more niche markets such as professional wrestling and entertainment awards.

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