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Week 7 of the college football season is here.
After four straight early bet wins in Week 2 (FIU -9.5), Week 3 (Virginia Tech -3), Week 4 (Troy vs. Utah State under 48.5) and Week 5 (James Madison -18), Arizona State failed to cover against Hawaii in Week 6.
Now, we're fading that same Sun Devils team.
Let's dive into Wilson's college football picks and NCAAF predictions for Arizona State vs. Texas Tech in Week 7 below. For more college football picks and analysis, download the Action Network app today.
College Football Picks for Arizona State vs. Texas Tech
| Arizona State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+14.5 -110 | 49 -110o / -110u | +500 |
| Texas Tech Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-14.5 -110 | 49 -110o / -110u | -700 |
The Sun Devils entered Week 6 as three-touchdown favorites over a struggling Hawaii team.
Head coach Kenny Dillingham is looking for a spark with Arizona State after one of the most “embarrassing” losses in program history to Baylor.
The response came in a sloppy 18-point victory that included a missed field goal in the fourth quarter to allow a cover by the Rainbow Warriors.
The Sun Devils will now travel to Lubbock, where Texas Tech will come off a much-needed bye week to heal injuries. The Red Raiders defense has supreme advantages against Arizona State's ground attack and passing game.
Texas Tech ranks top-10 nationally in both Quality Drives allowed and Defensive Finishing Drives.
Opposing offenses have failed to get into scoring position, with even less success in putting points on the board. Texas Tech has allowed 26 drives to cross the 40-yard line, resulting in just 2.3 points per trip.
Tech running back J'Koby Williams should have no issues in the Red Raiders' heavy zone read rushing attack, facing an Arizona State defense that ranks 120th in Stuff Rate.
On top of the offensive rush and defensive advantages, SP+ gives a large edge to the Red Raiders' special teams. Texas Tech ranks 19th in the third phase, while Arizona State comes in at 120th. rank of 19th against Arizona State at 120th.
The Sun Devils have also struggled with discipline, ranking 128th in FBS in penalties.
The Action Network projects Texas Tech as an 18.5-point favorite, as the early market is already steaming the two-touchdown spread.
Look to get in on the early number before steam carries the Red Raiders to the next key number of 17 by the end of the week.
Pick: Texas Tech -14 (-120 or Better)
