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3 College Football Model Predictions Thursday, Led by A+ Edge

3 College Football Model Predictions Thursday, Led by A+ Edge article feature image
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Illinois football flags. Credit: Dylan Widger-Imagn Images-USA Today Sports-Reuters Connect

PRO Projections first A+ prediction of the college football season kickoff Thursday!

Week 0 may have been light on edges, but not this week.

Action PRO data-driven betting models stack up what we believe are the true odds for a game or prop against market lines. After stacking up the difference, projections assign a grade like A, B, C, and so on to determine the strength of the pick.

On Thursday, it's a full grab bag of three smart bets using projections: One spread, one moneyline and one total, including a coveted 'A+' graded play.

Let's just say one team favored by a touchdown Thursday is potentially on upset alert.


3 College Football Model Predictions Thursday, Led by A+ Edges

The best Thursday picks tailing Action PRO money insights can be found here.

Interesting in following data model projections? The top spread play for Week 1 (all games included) kicks off on Thursday.

The A+ edge and highest-rated pick for college football Week 1 is to take the Colorado Buffaloes to cover against Georgia Tech.

These two clubs met last year in the opener, too. Georgia Tech won and covered in a 27-20 victory.

The Yellow Jackets are -6.5 against Colorado on Thursday.

According to Action PRO, the fair line should be more like Georgia Tech -3.2. The large gap between PRO and the market creates a big enough edge to warrant an A+ grade on Deion Sanders and the Buffaloes to cover.

A+ PRO Projections Pick: Colorado Spread

Also, bettors should perhaps consider Colorado to win outright.

Moneyline odds list Colorado as a consensus +205 underdog, implying a 32% chance of winning.

The true PRO line is +146, as Action odds give Colorado a 40% chance to win. This mismatch earns an A- grade.

A- PRO Projections Pick: Colorado Moneyline

And that's not it.

One over/under Thursday also made the cut as an actionable pick: UAB vs. Illinois over.

Thursday's non-conference total is 54.5. PRO expects some points between the Blazers and Fighting Illini, computing a combined score of 58 points. It crosses a key number of 55. This prediction's good for a solid B- grade.

B- PRO Projections Pick: UAB-Illinois Over