Georgia Tech vs Georgia Odds, Picks & Predictions | CFB Betting Preview
Andy Lyons/Getty Images. Pictured: Stetson Bennett and Kenny McIntosh.
Georgia Tech vs Georgia Odds
| Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+35.5 -110 | 49 -110o / -110u | N/A |
| Georgia Bulldogs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-35.5 -110 | 49 -110o / -110u | N/A |
It's rivalry week! There are few better rivalries than in-state rivalries, and this one between top-ranked Georgia and Georgia Tech is a great way to kick off the slate.
The Yellow Jackets are flying high into this matchup as they turned things around last week against North Carolina. They battled back from down 17 to upset the No. 13 ranked Tar Heels. However, if the Tar Heels were a challenge, the Bulldogs could make this a very long game.
Speaking of the Bulldogs, the defending national champions appear poised to defend their crown in January. However, they still have quite a few games to get there, and they can't overlook the Yellow Jackets. So, can the Bulldogs take care of business in their regular season finale? Let's dive in to find out.
Georgia Tech's Quarterbacks Have Tough Matchup
The Yellow Jackets were spurred by the efforts of both of their backup quarterbacks against North Carolina. I say both because, with injuries to Jeff Sims and Zach Pyron, we saw Georgia Tech deploy a dual-quarterback attack.
Sophomore Zach Gibson took the majority of the snaps as he was the pocket passer. Gibson performed well as he went 13 for 18 and averaged 9.7 yards per completion. However, what made the offense dynamic is the implementation of Clemson transfer Taisun Phommachanh.
Phommachanh is a very mobile quarterback, and his talent was on full display. He rushed 10 times for 44 yards and scored once. However, while he figures to be a fixture in the offense for this matchup, his success could be severely limited.
The Bulldogs' defense is elite, and they excel in stopping the rush. They are 10th in yards per rush allowed and third in rushing yards allowed per game. Don't count on much success from Gibson through the air, either. Georgia is fourth in yards per pass allowed and 17th in completion percentage.
Georgia Will Run All Day Long
The Bulldogs offense is interesting to analyze. They don't have superstar NFL talent at any of the skill positions, yet they have been dominant this year. They enter this matchup seventh in points per game, fifth in yards per play, and first in red-zone scoring rate.
They'll typically keep the ball on the ground as they rush 52% of the time, but we may see them run the ball even more, given how much success they should have in this matchup.
The Yellow Jackets will be overpowered in the trenches as they are outranked 23 to 118 in line yards and 114th in rushing success rate allowed. Whether it's Kenny McIntosh, Daijun Edwards, Kendall Milton or Stetson Bennett, the Dawgs should move the ball at will on the ground.
However, this has been the case in many of their games this year, and what this rushing attack has done is set up the passing game for Bennett.
While many may not think of Bennett as an elite passer, his numbers say otherwise. He is eighth in the nation in completion percentage and 12th in yards per pass.
If the Yellow Jackets get desperate in their effort to stop the run, it will lead to explosive pass plays, which gives Georgia the ability to run this one up quickly.
Georgia Tech vs Georgia Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Georgia Tech and Georgia match up statistically:
Georgia Tech Offense vs. Georgia Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 127 | 6 | |
| Line Yards | 89 | 9 | |
| Pass Success | 111 | 4 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 120 | 77 | |
| Havoc | 115 | 71 | |
| Finishing Drives | 114 | 1 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Georgia Offense vs. Georgia Tech Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 6 | 114 | |
| Line Yards | 23 | 118 | |
| Pass Success | 1 | 53 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 7 | 86 | |
| Havoc | 4 | 62 | |
| Finishing Drives | 6 | 16 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 106 | 14 |
| PFF Coverage | 81 | 22 |
| SP+ Special Teams | 105 | 9 |
| Seconds per Play | 25.2 (41) | 28.6 (108) |
| Rush Rate | 53.6% (69) | 51.3% (85) |
Data via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus, and SportSource Analytics.
Georgia Tech vs Georgia Betting Pick
It's clear that Georgia will dominate this game from all aspects, but the line also reflects that.
So, where's the value? I believe it in the first half. The full game spread is over five touchdowns at this point, and the risk of a backdoor will be high late in the game.
So back the Dawgs to be up by at least three touchdowns by halftime, as we should be in total control from the jump when they are fresh.
Pick: Georgia 1H -19.5 |
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