The Pitt Panthers take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in Atlanta on Saturday, Nov. 22. Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Georgia Tech is favored by 2.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -140. Pitt, meanwhile, enters as a +2.5 underdog and is +120 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 62 total points.
Here’s my Pitt vs. Georgia Tech prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 22.
Pitt vs Georgia Tech Prediction
- Pitt vs. Georgia Tech Pick: Pitt +2.5 or Better
My Georgia Tech vs. Pitt best bet is on the Panthers to cover the spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Pitt vs Georgia Tech Odds
| Pittsburgh Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 62 -110o / -110u | +120 |
| GA Tech Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 62 -110o / -110u | -140 |
- Pitt vs Georgia Tech Spread: Georgia Tech -2.5, Pitt +2.5
- Pitt vs Georgia Tech Over/Under: 62 Points
- Pitt vs Georgia Tech Moneyline: Pitt +120, Georgia Tech -140
Pitt vs Georgia Tech College Football Betting Preview
Pitt Panthers Betting Preview: In a Solid Spot
Head coach Pat Narduzzi will look to rebound after a blowout loss to Notre Dame in a game that had no impact on the ACC Championship picture.
The Panthers can make their own path with a win over Georgia Tech this week and over Miami in Week 14. Narduzzi's presser focused on defending GT quarterback Haynes King, the next dual-threat signal-caller to face the Pitt defense.
Pitt has found some success against dual-threats, as Notre Dame's CJ Carr and Florida State's Tommy Castellanos were limited to a combined 19 rushing yards.
Counter and power run concepts dominate the ground attack for head coach Brent Key, as Georgia Tech runs on more than 57% of snaps.
Pitt has been highly effective against both power and counter concepts, averaging a negative play on at least 14% of attempts.
On the other side of the ball, freshman quarterback Mason Heintschel has exceeded expectations since taking over starting duties.
The signal-caller has doubled his touchdown-to-interception ratio, but a consistent issue with pressure has limited the quarterback. Notre Dame generated 22 pressures in just 41 dropbacks by Heintschel, resulting in three turnover-worthy plays.
The Pitt offensive line ranks 65th in blocking and may get a reprieve against Georgia Tech, as the Yellow Jackets are 113th in pass rush, per PFF.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Betting Preview: Recent Struggles in Atlanta
Georgia Tech hasn't played its best football over the past two games, which included a loss to NC State and a victory over Boston College.
The Yellow Jackets' loss to the Wolfpack featured a 16% post-game win expectancy, while a 59% post-game win expectancy came when they were heavy favorites over the Eagles.
The defense is the focal point after giving up 8.1 yards per play to Boston College in Week 12. NC State averaged 8.7 yards per play following the same format as Boston College, putting up over 11 yards per play on third downs and in the third quarter.
The best way to combat a broken defense is to score as many points as needed, as evidenced by King's 1,083 passing yards and 11 all-purpose touchdowns over the past three games.
The heavy ground attack led by King, which includes Jamal Haynes in the backfield, has failed to generate explosive plays at the same rate as 2024.
Georgia Tech is one of the most methodical offenses in the country, but it has struggled to maximize points in scoring position. The Yellow Jackets rank sixth in red-zone scoring, but fall to 90th in red-zone touchdown rate.
Pitt vs Georgia Tech Pick, Betting Analysis
Georgia Tech's unwillingness to gamble in scoring position may be a critical aspect against Pitt.
The Yellow Jackets' drop-off in red-zone scoring to touchdown rate is a reflection of playing it safe, as Key's team has attempted only nine fourth downs the entire season.
Despite being a methodical offense that often generates scoring opportunities, King hasn't created explosives at a high level with Georgia Tech ranking 102nd in Rush EPA.
Pitt's defensive front has been fantastic against power and counter concepts, which could limit the Yellow Jackets.
Heintschel isn't expected to see pressure despite the rotation at left tackle due to injuries. Georgia Tech's 113th-ranked pass rush has produced just 18 sacks this season, signaling that the freshman quarterback should thrive in a clean pocket.
The Panthers have also created pass explosives at a top-15 rate, which could be problematic for a Yellow Jackets defense that has been dominated in quarters coverage.
Action Network's betting power ratings line this game right in line with the market, favoring Georgia Tech thanks to home-field advantage.
There's an expectation that Pitt will take over the game in the second half due to the current Middle 8 rankings.
The Panthers rank 16th in Middle 8 scoring differential compared to the Yellow Jackets' rank of 119th — an area that was an issue against NC State and Boston College.
Pick: Pitt +2.5 or Better
Pitt vs Georgia Tech Betting Trends
