The Georgia Senate race 2026 has Jon Ossoff priced at 97¢ on Polymarket and 97.4¢ on Kalshi, while the Georgia Governor race 2026 has swung further toward Keisha Lance Bottoms, who jumped 4 points to 66¢ on both exchanges.
- Jon Ossoff, Mike Collins, Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson all have live Georgia Governor election and Senate contracts on both exchanges, and Polymarket and Kalshi each list a Governor-Senate combo market.
- Georgia senate race 2026 polls show Ossoff ahead by 7 to 10 points, while Bottoms vs Jackson polls run from a 3-point Jackson lead to a 3-point Bottoms lead.
Below you'll find a full breakdown of the current Georgia Senate race 2026 and Georgia Governor election odds across the exchanges, but if you want to jump straight in, check out the latest Polymarket promo code or the Kalshi promo code.
Here's exactly where the money sits on both platforms before polls close on Tuesday, November 3.
| 🗳️ Race | 🏢 Platform | 🏷️ Pick | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Jon Ossoff | YES (97¢) | $103.09 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Mike Collins | YES (4¢) | $2,500.00 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Jon Ossoff | YES (97.4¢) | $102.67 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Mike Collins | YES (3.2¢) | $3,125.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (66¢) | $151.52 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Rick Jackson | YES (35¢) | $285.71 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (66¢) | $151.52 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Rick Jackson | YES (35¢) | $285.71 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
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Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election Polymarket Odds: Top Trading Contracts
Polymarket's Georgia contracts are priced 1¢ to 99¢, mapping directly to implied probability, and a "Yes" share on a candidate settles at $1.00 if that candidate wins and $0 if they lose.
Both the Georgia Senate race 2026 market and the Georgia Governor election market resolve on the winner of the November 3 general election, and Georgia holds a December 1 runoff if no candidate clears 50%.
A methodology note: Polymarket's board only quotes each candidate's own Yes price, so the No prices below are derived by pairing each candidate against their head-to-head opponent's quoted Yes price. That is a close approximation here, since no Libertarian qualified for the November ballot, though write-in votes can still make it imprecise.
Georgia Senate Race 2026
Polymarket's board tags the race Safe D, and another 2-point move toward Ossoff has Collins down to a 4% chance.
Jon Ossoff (YES 97¢ / NO 4¢, +2 pts)
Ossoff trades at 97¢, a 97% implied probability, and the Ossoff vs Collins polls back him up. The AJC and University of Georgia survey had him ahead 48% to 40%, and ActiVote's rolling poll, fielded October 6 to 20, had him up 54% to 46%.
Turnout adds to the case. Georgia's in-person early vote reached 2,402,408 as of early Friday, topping the 2022 midterm record, and Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger projects a total above 4 million ballots.
Mike Collins (YES 4¢ / NO 97¢, -1 pts)
Collins trades at 4¢, a 4% implied probability, after slipping 1 point. The Republican congressman from Georgia's 10th District has leaned on Trump's October 24 rally in Perry, but the Georgia senate race 2026 polls still have him trailing by high single digits.
At 4¢, a winning share would return $25 for every $1 spent, which shows how far the market sits from a Collins upset.
Georgia Governor Race 2026
Polymarket tags the Georgia Governor race 2026 as Lean D, and a 4-point swing toward Bottoms makes this the biggest mover on either Polymarket board.
Keisha Lance Bottoms (YES 66¢ / NO 35¢, +4 pts)
Bottoms trades at 66¢, a 66% implied probability, after the jump. The newest Bottoms vs Jackson polls are still split, but State Navigate's October 23 to 27 survey of 679 likely voters had her ahead 50% to 47%, with early voters backing her 55% to 41%.
Former Vice President Kamala Harris rallied with Ossoff at Clark Atlanta University on October 29, while Bottoms campaigned across south Georgia.
Rick Jackson (YES 35¢ / NO 66¢, -4 pts)
Jackson trades at 35¢, a 35% implied probability, after losing 4 points. His path runs through Election Day, since State Navigate found him ahead 52% to 44% among respondents who had not yet voted.
Raffensperger expects roughly 1.5 million Georgians to vote on Tuesday, and Gov. Brian Kemp and other Republican leaders spent the final stretch campaigning to turn those voters out.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election: Kalshi Odds
Kalshi lists the same two races as regulated event contracts that resolve by winning party, with Yes and No both tradable on every line, so the board shows the full spread rather than a single implied number.
Volume shows where the attention is, with about $3.8 million traded on the Senate market and $3.4 million on the Governor market.
Georgia Senate Race 2026
Kalshi's Senate board is a touch firmer than Polymarket's, and its margin forecast now puts Ossoff ahead by 12.5 points in the Georgia Senate race 2026.
Jon Ossoff (YES 97.4¢ / NO 2.9¢, +1.4 pts)
Ossoff gained 1.4 points to 97.4¢, a 97.4% implied probability. A 12.5-point forecast is wider than the 8-point AJC and UGA result, so traders are pricing in more than the Ossoff vs Collins polls alone show.
Women made up 56% of Georgia's early voters, compared with 44% for men, according to WABE, and Ossoff led among women in the AJC and UGA poll.
Mike Collins (YES 3.2¢ / NO 96.9¢, -1.4 pts)
Collins dropped 1.4 points to 3.2¢, a 3.2% implied probability and about a point below his Polymarket price.
At that price, a winning share pays more than 31 times what it costs, a measure of how little of a Collins upset is priced in.
Georgia Governor Race 2026
Kalshi's Governor board matches Polymarket to the cent, and its margin forecast has the Democrat ahead by 1.9 points in the Georgia Governor election.
Keisha Lance Bottoms (YES 66¢ / NO 35¢, +4 pts)
Bottoms jumped 4 points to 66¢, a 66% implied probability, and a 1.9-point forecast still reads like a lean rather than a lock.
Turnout data is her best argument. In State Navigate's poll, 66% of mid-propensity Democrats had already voted, compared with 27% of mid-propensity Republicans.
Rick Jackson (YES 35¢ / NO 66¢, -4 pts)
Jackson fell 4 points to 35¢, a 35% implied probability. He leads habitual voters by 9 points in State Navigate's poll, and his campaign needs those voters to show up in force on Tuesday.
AJC and UGA had him ahead 46% to 45% and ActiVote had him up 3 points, which is why his price has not collapsed.
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Georgia Governor-Senate Combo Bets
Both exchanges let traders bet on how the two races land together, pairing a Governor outcome with a Senate outcome in a single contract.
A Democratic sweep is the favorite at 66¢ on Polymarket and 65¢ on Kalshi, up 3 points on each, while a Jackson win paired with an Ossoff win sits at 35¢ and 34¢, down 1 point and 3 points. A GOP sweep is a long shot at 4¢ and 3¢, and a Bottoms and Collins split is 1¢ on both.
Polymarket labels its outcomes by party, so the table translates them into candidate pairings, and neither board shows a NO price for the Bottoms and Collins pairing, so those cells read N/A.
| 🏢 Platform | 🗳️ Outcome | ✅ YES | ❌ NO | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win (Dem sweep) | YES 66¢ | NO 35¢ | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Polymarket | Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win (split ticket) | YES 35¢ | NO 66¢ | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Polymarket | Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win (GOP sweep) | YES 4¢ | NO 97¢ | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win (split ticket) | YES 1¢ | N/A | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win (Dem sweep) | YES 65¢ | NO 36¢ | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Kalshi | Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win (split ticket) | YES 34¢ | NO 68¢ | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Kalshi | Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win (GOP sweep) | YES 3¢ | NO 98¢ | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win (split ticket) | YES 1¢ | N/A | Trade it on Kalshi! |
How Polymarket and Kalshi Compare on the Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election
The two boards agree on every favorite. Ossoff sits at YES 97¢ on Polymarket and YES 97.4¢ on Kalshi, while Bottoms is at YES 66¢ on both.
The underdogs tell the same story in reverse. Collins trades at YES 4¢ on Polymarket and YES 3.2¢ on Kalshi, and Jackson is at YES 35¢ on both.
The only real gap is on Collins, and it is mostly a spread effect, since Polymarket's two Yes prices in the Senate race add up to 101¢ against 100.6¢ on Kalshi. That is small enough to read as noise rather than a signal.
The bigger divergence is between the exchanges and the toplines. Bottoms vs Jackson polls run from ActiVote's 3-point Jackson edge to State Navigate's 3-point Bottoms lead, and both boards put Bottoms at YES 66¢, a price that leans on turnout more than on the polls.
Ossoff vs Collins polls are less ambiguous, with leads of 7 to 10 points, and a price of YES 97¢ or YES 97.4¢ suggests traders expect that cushion to hold.
Both exchanges carry a combo board, so the difference is presentation rather than contract design. Kalshi quotes both sides of every line plus margin forecasts of D +12.5 in the Senate and D +1.9 in the Governor race, while Polymarket's board shows a rating label and each candidate's own Yes price.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election Price Analysis: Market Price Influencers
Both boards moved toward the Democrats on both exchanges, with Bottoms up 4 points to 66¢ and Ossoff up 2 points on Polymarket and 1.4 on Kalshi. The Governor move is the one that matters, since the Senate boards were already near the ceiling.
The timing lines up with the final turnout data. Georgia closed early voting on Friday with a record midterm total of more than 2.4 million in-person ballots, plus 111,372 absentee ballots accepted as of early Friday, although mail voting fell by about half from 2022.
State Navigate's poll shows why Democrats read that as good news. Bottoms led 55% to 41% among its early voters, and Democrats' less frequent voters have turned out at a higher rate than Republicans' so far.
Jackson's path runs through Tuesday. He led 52% to 44% among respondents who had not yet voted, Raffensperger projects about 1.5 million Election Day voters, and Republicans still have more habitual voters left to bring out.
The Georgia senate race 2026 board has far less to price. Every recent entry among the Ossoff vs Collins polls has Ossoff ahead by 7 points or more, and the other Georgia senate race 2026 polls point the same way, so Collins needs a wide miss.
The combo boards add one more read. A Jackson win is almost entirely a split-ticket bet, with Jackson and Ossoff at 35¢ on Polymarket and 34¢ on Kalshi against just 4¢ and 3¢ for a full GOP sweep, a gap worth discounting a little given Kalshi's combo market has only about $130,000 in volume.
The final Georgia senate race 2026 polls and Bottoms vs Jackson polls, along with Tuesday's first returns, are the likeliest triggers for a repricing. If no candidate clears 50%, the top two advance to a December 1 runoff, though with no Libertarian on the ballot that looks unlikely.
| 🗳️ Race | 🏢 Platform | 🏷️ Pick | Price | 🤑 Est. Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Jon Ossoff | YES (97¢) | $103.09 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Polymarket | Mike Collins | YES (4¢) | $2,500.00 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Jon Ossoff | YES (97.4¢) | $102.67 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Senate Race | Kalshi | Mike Collins | YES (3.2¢) | $3,125.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (66¢) | $151.52 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Polymarket | Rick Jackson | YES (35¢) | $285.71 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Keisha Lance Bottoms | YES (66¢) | $151.52 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Georgia Governor Race | Kalshi | Rick Jackson | YES (35¢) | $285.71 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
How to Trade the Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Race 2026 on Prediction Markets
Ready to take a position? Check out the best political trading apps and start trading event contracts in minutes on either exchange.
Polymarket
- Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Polymarket to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Polymarket to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
📝 POLYMARKET TERMS & CONDITIONS
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Kalshi
- Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Race 2026: Final Thoughts
This is two Democratic-favored races priced with different levels of confidence: a Georgia Senate race 2026 where Ossoff is a 97% favorite on both exchanges, and a Georgia Governor race 2026 where Bottoms has climbed to 66% in a contest the polls still call close.
Watch Election Day turnout and the first returns for the likeliest repricing, and keep an eye on the Jackson and Ossoff split on the combo boards, which is the clearest read on how traders see the two races landing together.
Georgia Senate Race 2026 and Georgia Governor Election FAQs
What are the current Georgia Governor race 2026 and Senate odds?
Keisha Lance Bottoms trades at 66¢ on both Polymarket and Kalshi in the Georgia Governor race 2026, with Rick Jackson at 35¢ on both. In the Senate race, Jon Ossoff is at 97¢ on Polymarket and 97.4¢ on Kalshi, while Mike Collins sits at 4¢ and 3.2¢.
What do the latest Georgia senate race 2026 polls show?
Ossoff leads in every recent survey. The AJC and UGA poll had him up 48% to 40%, ActiVote had him ahead 54% to 46%, and a Wedgewood poll fielded October 2 and 3 had him at 55% to 45%.
How do Georgia senate race 2026 polls compare to Polymarket and Kalshi pricing?
The markets are more confident than a typical 8-point lead would suggest, with Ossoff at 97¢ on Polymarket and 97.4¢ on Kalshi, and Kalshi's own margin forecast at D +12.5 points.
What do the latest Ossoff vs Collins polls show?
Quantus Insights found Ossoff ahead 52% to 45% in mid-October, and a Big Data Poll had him up 52.2% to 41.0% among likely voters in late September.
Are Ossoff vs Collins polls tightening before Election Day?
There is no clear sign of it. October surveys from AJC and UGA, Quantus Insights and ActiVote put Ossoff up 7 to 8 points, and Kalshi's forecast has widened to D +12.5.
What do the latest Bottoms vs Jackson polls show?
They are split. ActiVote has Jackson ahead 51.5% to 48.5% and AJC and UGA has him up 46% to 45%, while State Navigate's October 23 to 27 survey has Bottoms ahead 50% to 47% with leaners.
How do Bottoms vs Jackson polls compare to Polymarket and Kalshi pricing?
The markets lean further toward Bottoms than most toplines do. Both exchanges price her at 66¢, a number that reflects early-vote data as much as the polls, which run from Jackson +3 to Bottoms +3.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi price the Georgia Governor election slightly differently?
They barely do. Bottoms is 66¢ and Jackson is 35¢ on both boards, and the Senate gap is under a cent, which usually reflects spreads and order-book depth rather than a different view of the race.
What do the Georgia Governor-Senate combo bets show?
Polymarket prices a Democratic sweep at 66¢, a Jackson and Ossoff split at 35¢, a Republican sweep at 4¢ and a Bottoms and Collins split at 1¢. Kalshi has them at 65¢, 34¢, 3¢ and 1¢.
How do I trade the Georgia Senate race 2026 and Georgia Governor election odds?
Sign up on Polymarket or Kalshi, fund your account, and buy a "Yes" or "No" share on the contract you want, then hold it to resolution or sell it back to the market at any point before Election Day.
