Six Week 8 games hit our board on Sunday, Nov. 1, and today's best NFL prop bets run from Lamar Jackson's return in Buffalo to Dak Prescott's passing line against Arizona.
New users can make a $10 deposit with the Polymarket promo codeACTION to unlock a $25 trading bonus. Every trade below comes straight from the live Polymarket board, and you can see all eight in the table before we break down each game on the NFL slate.
| 🏈 Game (Start) | 🏷️ Prop | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL vs BUF (1:00 PM ET) | James Cook III 80+ Rush Yds | Yes (54¢) | $85.19 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| BAL vs BUF (1:00 PM ET) | Derrick Henry 80+ Rush Yds | No (51¢) | $96.08 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| MIN vs DET (1:00 PM ET) | Amon-Ra St. Brown 80+ Rec Yds | Yes (50¢) | $100.00 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| LV vs NYJ (1:00 PM ET) | Brock Bowers 70+ Rec Yds | Yes (51¢) | $96.08 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| ATL vs TB (1:00 PM ET) | Bijan Robinson 80+ Rush Yds | Yes (52¢) | $92.31 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| ARI vs DAL (1:00 PM ET) | Dak Prescott 275+ Pass Yds | Yes (46¢) | $117.39 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| ARI vs DAL (1:00 PM ET) | Jacoby Brissett 250+ Pass Yds | Yes (57¢) | $75.44 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| LAC vs LAR (4:05 PM ET) | Puka Nacua 90+ Rec Yds | Yes (54¢) | $85.19 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
Best NFL Prop Bets Today: Our Top Polymarket Picks for Week 8
Every pick below is a real trade we'd make after redeeming the Polymarket promo code (ACTION). These are our best NFL player props today, grouped by game and built around current prices.
Prices move once inactives drop, so check each number before you trade. You can also read the latest NFL injury report and the NFL odds for the full picture.
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Ravens vs Bills Prediction
Baltimore (4-3) visits Buffalo (5-1) at 1:00 p.m. ET, and the Bills are 3-point home favorites with a total of 54.5.
Jackson is set to return after missing three games with an ankle injury, and the Bills are coming off their bye. Both of our picks here come from the ground game.
Best Rushing Yards Prop Today – James Cook III
| 🏈 Game (Start) | 🏷️ Prop | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL vs BUF (1:00 PM ET) | James Cook III 80+ Rush Yds | Yes (54¢) | $85.19 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Cook has 627 rushing yards on 117 carries this season, a 5.4 average, with six rushing touchdowns.
Buffalo is rested and at home, and a healthy Jackson should keep Baltimore's offense on schedule, which keeps this one close enough for the Bills to lean on their lead back.
At a 54¢ average price, a $100 buy gets you roughly 185 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves in your favor.
- If Cook runs for 80 or more yards, this ticket nets $85.19.
- If not: the $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
It's a near coin-flip price that pays back more than 85% of your stake in profit.
Best Rushing Yards Prop Today – Derrick Henry Under 80 Yards
| 🏈 Game (Start) | 🏷️ Prop | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL vs BUF (1:00 PM ET) | Derrick Henry 80+ Rush Yds | No (51¢) | $96.08 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Henry has 579 yards on 147 carries, a 3.9 average, and he was held in check in each of the last two games.
Buffalo's run defense has improved, and a 4-yard-per-carry back needs a lot of volume to reach 80. With Jackson back, Baltimore can lean on the pass more than it did with Tyler Huntley under center.
At a 51¢ average price, a $100 buy gets you roughly 196 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves in your favor.
- If Henry finishes under 80 rushing yards, this ticket nets a profit of $96.08.
- If not: the $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
It's priced at nearly even money, which is a fair fade.
Also on the Ravens-Bills board: Jackson 25+ rushing yards (Yes 52¢), Justice Hill 10+ rushing yards (Yes 54¢), and Josh Allen 40+ rushing yards (Yes 44¢).
Vikings vs Lions Prediction
Minnesota is 6-0, and Detroit is 4-2, and the Lions are home favorites by about a field goal with a total of 46.5 at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Detroit is down safety Kerby Joseph, and cornerback Roger McCreary is questionable.
Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Amon-Ra St. Brown
| 🏈 Game (Start) | 🏷️ Prop | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN vs DET (1:00 PM ET) | Amon-Ra St. Brown 80+ Rec Yds | Yes (50¢) | $100.00 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
St. Brown caught nine passes for 153 yards against Green Bay in Week 7, then picked up an ankle tweak. He isn't on the Lions' latest injury designations, so he's set to play.
The Lions were optimistic about his status all week, and he remains the clear No. 1 target in Detroit's passing game.
At a 50¢ average price, a $100 buy gets you roughly 200 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves in your favor.
- If St. Brown clears 80 receiving yards, this ticket nets a $100.00 profit.
- If not: the $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
That's an even-money price on a player who just went for 153 yards.
Also on the Vikings-Lions board: Justin Jefferson 80+ receiving yards (Yes 50¢), Sam LaPorta 40+ (Yes 57¢), T.J. Hockenson 40+ (Yes 54¢), and Jauan Jennings 10+ (Yes 60¢).
Raiders vs Jets Prediction
Las Vegas (3-4) has lost four straight and visits New York (2-5) at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Jets are 1.5-point home favorites, and the total is 45.5.
New York is missing defensive lineman T'Vondre Sweat and linebacker Joseph Ossai, and linebacker David Bailey is doubtful.
Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Brock Bowers
| 🏈 Game (Start) | 🏷️ Prop | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| LV vs NYJ (1:00 PM ET) | Brock Bowers 70+ Rec Yds | Yes (51¢) | $96.08 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Bowers had a meniscus trim before the season and dealt with hamstring and calf issues earlier this month. He was a full participant on Thursday and Friday and has no game designation.
Las Vegas needs its top pass catcher involved to snap the losing streak, and the Jets are playing with three defenders out or doubtful.
At a 51¢ average price, a $100 buy gets you roughly 196 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves in your favor.
- If Bowers reaches 70 receiving yards, this ticket nets a $96.08 profit.
- If not: the $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
It's another near coin-flip number that nearly doubles your stake.
Also on the Raiders-Jets board: Garrett Wilson 70+ receiving yards (Yes 47¢), Ashton Jeanty 30+ (Yes 49¢), Mason Taylor 20+ (Yes 60¢), and Omar Cooper Jr. 40+ (Yes 54¢).
Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction
Atlanta (3-4) travels to Tampa Bay (2-5) at 1:00 p.m. ET, where the Buccaneers are 2.5-point favorites and the total is 44.5.
Falcons running back Brian Robinson is out with a hamstring injury, and Buccaneers receiver Emeka Egbuka is out with a foot injury.
Best Rushing Yards Prop Today – Bijan Robinson
| 🏈 Game (Start) | 🏷️ Prop | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL vs TB (1:00 PM ET) | Bijan Robinson 80+ Rush Yds | Yes (52¢) | $92.31 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
With Brian Robinson sidelined, more of the Falcons' backfield work should land with Bijan.
Eighty yards is a big number, but the market has him at 52%, and he's the focal point of the Falcons' offense in a game with a low total and a tight spread.
At a 52¢ average price, a $100 buy gets you roughly 192 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves in your favor.
- If Robinson runs for 80 or more yards, this ticket nets a $92.31 profit.
- If not: the $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
The payout is better than 90% of your stake in profit on a workhorse role.
Also on the Falcons-Bucs board: Bucky Irving 70+ rushing yards (Yes 51¢) and Baker Mayfield 15+ rushing yards (Yes 56¢).
Cardinals vs Cowboys Prediction
Arizona (2-5) visits Dallas (3-4) at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Cowboys are 7-point home favorites, and the total is 54.5, the highest on our card.
That number matters for both quarterback props below. Overs in Cowboys games are 18-6 since Brian Schottenheimer became head coach.
Best Passing Yards Prop Today – Dak Prescott
| 🏈 Game (Start) | 🏷️ Prop | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI vs DAL (1:00 PM ET) | Dak Prescott 275+ Pass Yds | Yes (46¢) | $117.39 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Prescott is coming off a 38-21 win in Philadelphia and scored 23.2 fantasy points. Arizona has allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks and 17 passing touchdowns, and it gives up 8.5 yards per attempt.
The risk is at receiver, with KaVontae Turpin out and George Pickens questionable. Still, the matchup is soft enough to chase the longer price.
At a 46¢ average price, a $100 buy gets you roughly 217 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves in your favor.
- If Prescott throws for 275 or more yards, this ticket nets $117.39.
- If not: the $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
It's the lowest price among our eight picks, and it pays back more than your stake in profit.
Best Passing Yards Prop Today – Jacoby Brissett
| 🏈 Game (Start) | 🏷️ Prop | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI vs DAL (1:00 PM ET) | Jacoby Brissett 250+ Pass Yds | Yes (57¢) | $75.44 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Dallas struggles to get off the field on third down, which gives Brissett and tight end Trey McBride extra chances to keep drives alive.
Arizona lost receiver Jalen Brooks for the season, and running back Jeremiyah Love is set to return from an ankle injury, which could shift some work to the ground. In a game with a 54.5-point total, though, the Cardinals have to keep pace through the air.
At a 57¢ average price, a $100 buy gets you roughly 175 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves in your favor.
- If Brissett throws for 250 or more yards, this ticket nets $75.44.
- If not: the $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
It's the shortest price in this piece, so the payout is the smallest of the eight.
Chargers vs Rams Prediction
The winless Chargers (0-6) visit the Rams (3-4) at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Rams are 6.5-point home favorites, and the total is 45.5.
Chargers safety Derwin James is out, and cornerbacks Donte Jackson and Rodney Shelley are questionable.
Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Puka Nacua
| 🏈 Game (Start) | 🏷️ Prop | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC vs LAR (4:05 PM ET) | Puka Nacua 90+ Rec Yds | Yes (54¢) | $85.19 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Nacua is the focal point of the Rams' passing game, and Los Angeles is a heavy favorite against a Chargers secondary missing its top safety.
A 90-yard line is the highest bar on this card, but the market gives him a 54% chance to clear it.
At a 54¢ average price, a $100 buy gets you roughly 185 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves in your favor.
- If Nacua reaches 90 receiving yards, this ticket nets $85.19.
- If not: the $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
That's a strong price for a player who commands the target share he does.
Also on the Chargers-Rams board: Ladd McConkey 50+ receiving yards (Yes 48¢), Kyren Williams 20+ (Yes 60¢), and Tyler Higbee 40+ (Yes 46¢).
Today's NFL Odds: What's Moving the Prop Market
Prediction markets and prices move for many reasons. Prescott's 275-yard line sits at 46%, down 7 points, while Brissett's 250-yard line is priced at 57% in the same game.
In Detroit, Sam LaPorta's 40-yard line is down 4 points to 57%, and Jahmyr Gibbs' 30-yard receiving line is down 9 points to 50%.
The biggest swing is Aaron Jones Sr.'s 10-yard receiving line, down to 48% after a 28-point drop. Low lines like that can jump around, so treat them with care.
Across the card, these NFL player props line up with each player's role and the injury report, not any single storyline.
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- Open the NFL tab on Polymarket and trade the Week 8 props above before kickoff.
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Best NFL Prop Bets Today: Final Thoughts
Week 8 gives us a long slate with plenty of ways to play it, and our card leans on volume and matchups: Cook, Bijan Robinson, and Nacua on the ground and through the air, plus both quarterbacks in the highest-scoring game.
The cleanest edge may be in Dallas, where the 54.5 total, a leaky Arizona pass defense, and the Cowboys' over trend all point the same way. For more ways to play the season, see our NFL prediction market promos and the full prediction markets hub.
Polymarket Promo Code FAQs
What is the Polymarket promo code for NFL Week 8 props?
The current Polymarket promo code is ACTION. New users who sign up with it can deposit $10 and get a $25 trading bonus to use on Week 8 NFL markets.
What are the best NFL prop bets today?
Our top plays are James Cook III 80+ rushing yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown 80+ receiving yards, Brock Bowers 70+ receiving yards, Bijan Robinson 80+ rushing yards, and Dak Prescott 275+ passing yards, plus a fade on Derrick Henry 80+ rushing yards.
Which pick on the card has the shortest price?
Jacoby Brissett 250+ passing yards is the shortest price at 57 cents. Dak Prescott 275+ passing yards is the longest of our eight at 46 cents.
Is Lamar Jackson playing against the Bills in Week 8?
Reports say Jackson is set to return after missing three games with an ankle injury. Check the final inactives before kickoff, since prices can move.
What time do the Week 8 games on this card start?
Ravens-Bills, Vikings-Lions, Raiders-Jets, Falcons-Buccaneers, and Cardinals-Cowboys kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET. Chargers-Rams starts at 4:05 p.m. ET.
How do Polymarket NFL prop contracts work?
Each contract resolves Yes if the player hits the listed number in that game, and No if he doesn't. Shares bought at a given price pay out $1 each if the contract resolves in your favor, and nothing if it doesn't.
When do these NFL prop markets resolve?
Each contract resolves once its game is final, based on official NFL stats for that matchup.
Are there more NFL prediction markets to trade this week?
Yes. Beyond these player props, Polymarket has moneyline, spread, and total markets live for the Week 8 slate, plus markets across other sports.
