Four weeks into the 2026 season, the race to finish as the top fantasy player at each position now has a price. Polymarket's NFL hub features season-long fantasy markets covering Weeks 1-18, including Top WR, Top RB, and points-per-game contracts for individual players, with markets settling on Sunday, Jan. 10, 2027.
Below, we break down where the market stands at each position, what the prices mean, and which early favorites look solid or vulnerable. New Polymarket users can also use promo code ACTION to get a $50 trading bonus. See our Polymarket promo code page for full terms.
How Polymarket Contracts Work for Fantasy Football?
Polymarket displays fantasy contracts as multipliers. A 2.17x contract pays $2.17 for every $1 if it settles Yes, implying roughly a 46% probability based on 1 ÷ 2.17. Unlike sportsbooks, the price is determined by traders at prediction markets rather than a house line, and you can sell your position before Jan. 10, 2027 if the market moves in your favor.
To avoid doing the calculations yourself, you can use our prediction markets calculator. Simply enter the market price, and it will automatically convert it into American odds.
All position markets below use PPR scoring, except QB, D/ST and K.
Trending Fantasy Football Markets to Use Your Polymarket Bonus On
Here are some of the most interesting fantasy football markets currently available on Polymarket, including the players leading each position and the contracts that stand out for their potential value.
Top Fantasy WR 2026
Smith-Njigba remains the WR1 favorite at 25%, but the gap behind him is relatively narrow. St. Brown sits at 14%, followed by Ja'Marr Chase at 9% and Chris Olave at 8%, leaving plenty of room for the order to change after a few big performances.
The chart also shows how quickly the market has shifted. Smith-Njigba briefly climbed above 50% twice in September before falling back into the low-to-high 20% range, suggesting traders have become less confident in him as a runaway favorite.
| ⭐ Top 5 Fantasy Picks | 📈 Chances | 🟢 Yes Prices | 🔴 No Prices |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 25% | 25¢ | 76¢ |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 14% | 14¢ | 87¢ |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 9% | 9¢ | 92¢ |
| Chris Olave | 8% | 8¢ | 93¢ |
| Zay Flowers | 5% | 5¢ | 96¢ |
Top Fantasy RB 2026
Jahmyr Gibbs has pulled away after a volatile summer, rising from the 20%-30% range in August to 49% today, giving him by far the largest lead of any position. Bijan Robinson at 10% and Walker at 9% are essentially tied for second, while McCaffrey sits at 5% to round out the top five.
The RB race currently looks like the most settled of any position, with Gibbs separating himself from the rest of the field.
| ⭐ Top 5 Fantasy Picks | 📈 Chances | 🟢 Yes Prices | 🔴 No Prices |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 49% | 49¢ | 52¢ |
| Bijan Robinson | 10% | 10¢ | 91¢ |
| Kenneth Walker III | 9% | 9¢ | 92¢ |
| Christian McCaffrey | 5% | 5¢ | 96¢ |
| Derrick Henry | 4% | 4¢ | 97¢ |
Top Fantasy QB 2026
Josh Allenhas held onto the QB1 favorite spot for most of the season, currently sitting at 46%, well ahead of Lamar Jackson at 11%. The chart shows one sharp move from Dak Prescott, who climbed to roughly 50% in early September before quickly fading back to 4% today. Brock Purdy at 6% is the only other quarterback within range of Jackson for the No. 2 spot.
| ⭐ Top 5 Fantasy Picks | 📈 Chances | 🟢 Yes Prices | 🔴 No Prices |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 46% | 46¢ | 55¢ |
| Lamar Jackson | 11% | 11¢ | 90¢ |
| Brock Purdy | 6% | 6¢ | 95¢ |
| Dak Prescott | 4% | 4¢ | 97¢ |
| Geno Smith | 4% | 4¢ | 97¢ |
Top Fantasy TE 2026
This is the tightest race on the board right now. McBride still leads at 41%, but he's cooled from a high of nearly 50% earlier in September, while Brock Bowers has steadily climbed to 26%, up from single digits in August. If that trend continues, the TE race could become a genuine toss-up over the coming weeks. Kincaid at 9% and Colston Loveland at 6% remain well behind the top two.
| ⭐ Top 5 Fantasy Picks | 📈 Chances | 🟢 Yes Prices | 🔴 No Prices |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride | 41% | 41¢ | 60¢ |
| Brock Bowers | 26% | 26¢ | 75¢ |
| Dalton Kincaid | 9% | 9¢ | 92¢ |
| Colston Loveland | 6% | 6¢ | 95¢ |
| George Kittle | 4% | 4¢ | 97¢ |
Best Fantasy Kicker 2026
No kicker has managed to separate from the field. McPherson leads at just 11%, followed by Aubrey at 6%, while Santos, Cam Little and Boswell are all tied at 4%. The chart shows plenty of movement throughout the season, with several kickers briefly climbing above 30%-40% before falling back. That volatility makes it difficult for any one player to establish themselves as a clear favorite this early.
| ⭐ Top 5 Fantasy Picks | 📈 Chances | 🟢 Yes Prices | 🔴 No Prices |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evan McPherson | 11% | 11¢ | 90¢ |
| Brandon Aubrey | 6% | 6¢ | 95¢ |
| Cairo Santos | 4% | 4¢ | 97¢ |
| Cam Little | 4% | 4¢ | 97¢ |
| Chris Boswell | 4% | 4¢ | 97¢ |
Best Fantasy Defense 2026
Minnesota is the clearest favorite among the non-QB and RB positions at 25%, pulling away from a group that included Chicago and Pittsburgh earlier in the season. The Bears, Steelers and Seahawks are now tied at 5%, with Arizona at 4%.
The gap between Minnesota and the rest of the field has continued to grow since mid-September, giving the Vikings the clearest edge in the D/ST market.
| ⭐ Top 5 Defenses | 📈 Chances | 🟢 Yes Prices | 🔴 No Prices |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN Vikings | 25% | 25¢ | 76¢ |
| CHI Bears | 5% | 5¢ | 96¢ |
| PIT Steelers | 5% | 5¢ | 96¢ |
| SEA Seahawks | 5% | 5¢ | 96¢ |
| ARI Cardinals | 4% | 4¢ | 97¢ |
How the Polymarket Promo Code ACTION Works for Fantasy Football Markets
The Polymarket promo code ACTION offers a straightforward welcome bonus: sign up with the code, make a first deposit of at least $10, and receive a $50 trading bonus. Make sure to enter code ACTION during registration to qualify.
Here are the key terms to know:
- Who qualifies: This promotion is for first-time Polymarket US users who meet the offer's eligibility criteria.
- Minimum age: Participants must be 18 or older.
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- Account limits: Each user can claim the welcome offer once. You must complete identity and location checks before you can fund or trade. The $50 is promotional trading credit, not withdrawable cash.
- Trading warning: Event contracts carry financial risk, and you can lose the money you trade. Only participate if you're comfortable with that level of risk.
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Signing up and Claiming Polymarket Promo Code ACTION Bonus
Getting started with Polymarket takes only a few minutes. Follow the steps below to claim your $50 bonus and start trading. If you're unsure how Polymarket works, check out our guide on how to bet on Polymarket.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is PPR in fantasy football?
PPR stands for "point per reception." Every reception is worth one fantasy point in addition to points from yards and touchdowns. This gives pass-catching running backs like Gibbs and high-volume receivers like Smith-Njigba added value in these markets.
How do the "Top" markets settle?
Each market settles based on the player who finishes with the most total fantasy points at their position across Weeks 1-18 of the regular season, with settlement taking place on Sunday, Jan. 10.
Can I exit before the season ends?
Yes. Polymarket contracts can be traded throughout the season, allowing you to sell your position at the current market price before the final settlement.
Is Polymarket legal?
Polymarket US operates as a CFTC-regulated prediction markets and is available across 40+ states. It is currently unavailable in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
