Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - November 10, 2024

Broncos at Chiefs

6:00 pm • CBS
14 - 16

Broncos at Chiefs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Broncos
8-5
+9.5
+7.5-115
o42.5-110
+290
Chiefs
12-1
u46
-7.5-105
u42.5-110
-360
location pinSunday 6:00 p.m.
November 10, 2024
GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Broncos vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
32d ago
Last 30d: 44-60-0 (+24.3u)
DEN +162 (Live)
1u
🔑 Broncos LIVE ML +162 (FanDuel) 1u The Broncos historically have played Mahomes really well. I’m liking what I’m seeing out of their defense and their offense is moving the ball well. Good value here. The Chiefs have played with fire all year, I think their 1st L is coming today
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
32d ago
Last 30d: 48-30-1 (+17.7u)
KC -105 (Live)
0.24u
Gamblers Dream
Gamblers Dream
32d ago
Last 30d: 22-40-1 (-23.7u)
KC -105 (Live)
2.38u
VIP members are on the #Broncos +7.5 I am going for the “ premium double dip” to win both bets.
YBK Picks.com
32d ago
Last 30d: 40-41-2 (-10.0u)
DEN +7.5-105
1.9u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
32d ago
Last 30d: 21-23-2 (-3.9u)
DEN +7.5-110
0.45u
Chris Gimino
Chris Gimino
32d ago
Last 30d: 6-2-0 (+5.6u)
D.Hopkins o4.5 Recs+104
1u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
32d ago
Last 30d: 112-113-4 (+6.2u)
DEN +7.5-110
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
32d ago
Last 30d: 78-67-0 (+33.9u)
Under 42.5-115
2.61u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
33d ago
Last 30d: 283-249-11 (+18.1u)
P.Mahomes o33.5 Longest Completion-114
0.88u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
33d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-0 (+15.0u)
T.Franklin Anytime TD Scorer Yes+700
0.25u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-10-anytime-touchdown-round-robin-parlay-pick-prediction
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
33d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-3.7u)
J.Williams u10.5 Longest Rush-120
1u
FOLLOW ME ON X @PropBomb Clear strength vs. weakness target here. Brutal matchup for Javonte Williams who’s line is set for just 9.5 carries with positive coach speak that RB Audric Estime could be getting more touches to lower volume and upside. Chiefs rush defense has been elite ranking 2nd best in limiting 10+ yard LongRush (7.7% rate) with two of their 10/ 182 carries coming from Lamar and Baker. As for Javonte’s sake - he hasn’t looked great lately, most recently failing to generate big YPC vs. a terrible Panthers rush defense. Amongst qualified RBs with at least 75 carries, Javonte’s 2.06 yards after carry/attempt ranks 30th out of 31st and most importantly his 7.8% rate of 10+ LongRush ranks 28th out of 31. #PlayerPro
Proptology _
Proptology _
33d ago
Last 30d: 6-13-0 (-10.5u)
T.Kelce o58.5 Rec Yds-113
1.46u
🔬 The broncos are 8 point favorites and should be able to make this a game where they can lead from start to finish. The normal “find Kelce” on broken plays, plays from behind or 3rd downs when he sits in an opening shouldn’t be necessary that’s why I’m not playing receptions here. However….. 🔬Kelce should be able to make the best of the catches he does get, 87 has 157% more yards per route run vs 1 high coverage which the broncos deploy at the leagues 4th highest rate. 🔬Tight end performances of note vs broncos - Otton 7/47 , Bowers 8/97
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
33d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-0 (+15.0u)
T.Franklin o16.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-10-bets-for-derek-carr-demario-douglas
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
33d ago
Last 30d: 23-24-0 (-5.8u)
J.Williams u10.5 Rush Att-108
1u
We are showing an A+ grade for this in our player projections tool for a reason
Charlie Wright
Charlie Wright
33d ago
Last 30d: 13-20-0 (-5.2u)
J.Williams u37.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
Kansas City is the best run defense in the league. They've held running backs to the fewest yards per carry and the fewest yards per game. The Chiefs are 2nd in both yards before contact and yards after contact per attempt. They're also 2nd in stuff rate. It's a brutal matchup. Denver's backfield is as crowded as it's been since the short-lived Tyler Badie run. Badie led the team in carries out of nowhere in Week 3 and looked to be securing a larger role, but he got hurt in Week 4 and has been on IR since then. Williams maintained his lead-back status from there, but new challengers have emerged. Jaleel McLaughlin has played more than 30% of the snaps in back-to-back weeks, something he hadn't done since Week 5. Audric Estime also played a season-high 10% of the snaps last week. Williams' 54% snap rate in Week 9 was his lowest since Week 3. He earned just half of the running back carries. Estime largely played in garbage time, which could be a factor once again in this spot. Denver is on the road as a touchdown underdog against the last remaining undefeated team. Williams will need the Broncos to keep it close, have success against the best run defense in the league, and choose to prioritize him over the other backs. Just seems like there's a lot that needs to go right for him.
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
34d ago
Last 30d: 49-42-4 (+3.5u)
D.Hopkins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200
0.85u
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
36d ago
Last 30d: 18-17-1 (+1.1u)
DEN +8.5-110
0.45u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
37d ago
Last 30d: 7-15-0 (-8.4u)
Over 41.5-115
1u
Chiefs are doing a lot of work on late downs, but at least some of that is sustainable given how savvy both Travis Kelce and DeAndre Hopkins are. Have this total at 45 despite 10 mph winds.

PRO Insights

Broncos logo

Broncos

DEN Insights
  • Broncos logoThe Broncos have allowed their opponents to be successful on 26.0% of plays with a light front since Week 6 -- 3rd-best in NFL; the Chiefs have been successful on 33.0% of plays they have run against a light front since Week 6 -- 7th-worst in NFL.
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Chiefs logo

Chiefs

KC Insights
  • Chiefs logoThe Chiefs have allowed a passer rating of 76.1 with a heavy rush this season -- 8th-best in NFL; Broncos QBs have a 60.2 passer rating against a heavy rush this season -- 4th-worst in NFL.
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Broncos vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis

  • Early Week 11 Bets & NFL Week 10 Recap with Chad Millman & Simon Hunter | The Favorites Podcast article feature image

    Early Week 11 Bets & NFL Week 10 Recap with Chad Millman & Simon Hunter | The Favorites Podcast

    Simon Hunter
    Nov 10, 2024 UTC
  • Broncos vs. Chiefs: ATS Pick for NFL Sunday article feature image

    Broncos vs. Chiefs: ATS Pick for NFL Sunday

    Alex Kolodziej
    Nov 10, 2024 UTC
  • Gallant's Week 10 ATD Picks & Game Previews article feature image

    Gallant's Week 10 ATD Picks & Game Previews

    Gilles Gallant
    Nov 10, 2024 UTC
  • Dr. Nick's NFL Week 10 Player Props article feature image

    Dr. Nick's NFL Week 10 Player Props

    Nick Giffen
    Nov 10, 2024 UTC
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Broncos vs. Chiefs Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Broncos vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

36%

Bets%

64%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
4-8-12-52-3-13-7-11-1
Broncos
10-34-26-16-04-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Chiefs
6-73-43-35-61-1
Broncos
8-54-24-35-13-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
12-1N/AN/A11-01-1
Broncos
8-5N/AN/A6-02-5

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Nov 5thTBW 30-24-9 LO 45.5KC -440
Oct 27th@LVW 27-20-9 LO 43KC -440
Oct 20th@SFW 28-18+2.5 WU 48KC +120
Oct 8thNOW 26-13-5.5 WU 43.5KC -220
Sep 29th@LACW 17-10-7 LU 42KC -285

Broncos vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Broncos Injuries

  • Luke Wattenberg
    C

    Wattenberg is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Delarrin Turner-Yell
    S

    Turner-Yell is out with knee

    Out

  • Riley Moss
    CB

    Moss is out with knee

    Out

  • Drew Sanders
    LB

    Sanders is out with achilles

    Out

Chiefs Injuries

  • Hollywood Brown
    WR

    Hollywood Brown (shoulder surgery) headed to IR.

    Out

  • Mecole Hardman
    WR

    Hardman is out with knee

    Out

  • Rashee Rice
    WR

    Rice is out with leg

    Out

  • Cam Jones
    LB

    Jones is questionable with illness

    Questionable

  • Jared Wiley
    TE

    Wiley is out with knee

    Out

  • Spencer Shrader
    K

    Shrader is out with hamstring

    Out

Team Stats
260
Total Yards
300
55
Total Plays
65
4.7
Yards Per Play
4.6
215
YDS
266
22/30
Comps/Atts
28/42
5.688
YPA
5.283
2/0
TDs/INTs
1/0
2/33
Sacks/Yards
4/23
78
Rush Yards
57
23
Attempts
19
3.391
YPC
3
0
TDs
0

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

1/2 50%
Redzone
1/4 25%
7/13 0%
3rd Down
7/16 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
2/2 0%

First Downs

16
Total
19
12
Pass
13
4
Rush
4
0
Penalty
2
6/35
Penalties/Yards
3/10
26:39
Possession
33:21

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

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Broncos at Chiefs Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Broncos
8-5
o16.5-115
u16.5-105
Chiefs
12-1
o25.5-108
u25.5-112