Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - November 5, 2024
Buccaneers at Chiefs
1:15 am • ESPNBuccaneers at Chiefs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Buccaneers 4-5 | +7.5 | +9-110 | o45.5-110 | +340 |
Chiefs 8-0 | u47 | -9-110 | u45.5-108 | -440 |
Tuesday 1:15 a.m.
November 05, 2024GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Chad Millman
7d ago
Last 30d: 29-32-1 (-1.3u)
KC -2.5 (Live)-140
0.71u
Shady Biev
7d ago
Last 30d: 200-231-3 (-34.7u)
KC -190 (Live)
1.5u
D.Hopkins o4.5 Recs+120
2.4u
Charlie DiSturco
7d ago
Last 30d: 55-63-2 (+6.2u)
T.Palmer o2.5 Recs-125
1.25u
#tailing @nick_giffen
Nick Giffen
7d ago
Last 30d: 51-117-1 (-10.8u)
T.Palmer o4.5 Recs+320
0.25u
🪜
T.Palmer o3.5 Recs+172
0.5u
🪜
T.Palmer o2.5 Recs-120
1.2u
T.Palmer Anytime TD Scorer Yes+350
0.5u
K.Hunt u13.5 Longest Rush-105
1.05u
T.Palmer o30.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Dale Tanhardt
7d ago
Last 30d: 20-50-0 (+51.4u)
J.Watson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550
0.8u
N.Gray Anytime TD Scorer Yes+470
1u
JB Bets
7d ago
Last 30d: 69-79-0 (-2.0u)
D.Hopkins 40+ Receiving Yards Yes-134
0.75u
D.Hopkins 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+118
0.59u
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+120
1u
D.Hopkins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+180
1.8u
KC -7.5-124
1u
Boomer Betz
7d ago
Last 30d: 152-173-1 (-22.6u)
B.Mayfield u0.5 Int+140
1.05u
🌬️
Over 45.5-110
0.91u
🌬️
Over 23 (1H)-110
1u
🌬️
RocketPlays
7d ago
Last 30d: 51-106-1 (-2.4u)
B.Irving o14.5 Rec Yds-120
1.2u
Shady Biev
7d ago
Last 30d: 200-231-3 (-34.7u)
D.Hopkins o45.5 Rec Yds+100
3u
D.Hopkins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175
2.63u
D.Hopkins First Touchdown Scorer Yes+950
0.5u
KC -9+100
3u
Scott Rickenbach
7d ago
Last 30d: 75-61-2 (+1.7u)
KC -9-110
1u
Charlie DiSturco
7d ago
Last 30d: 55-63-2 (+6.2u)
D.Hopkins 60+ Receiving Yards Yes+184
0.55u
D.Hopkins 70+ Receiving Yards Yes+280
0.56u
D.Hopkins 80+ Receiving Yards Yes+430
0.43u
D.Hopkins o43.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
The Degenerates
7d ago
Last 30d: 61-61-1 (-4.6u)
TB +9.5-115
1u
Prop Bet Guy
7d ago
Last 30d: 86-70-0 (+6.3u)
B.Mayfield u35.5 Longest Completion-115
1u
Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/monday-night-football-prop-for-buccaneers-vs-chiefs-baker-mayfield-completions-bet
Markus Markets
7d ago
Last 30d: 70-74-1 (+16.7u)
S.Perine o7.5 Rec Yds-105
0.95u
Bet365
Sean Koerner
7d ago
Last 30d: 36-29-0 (+3.3u)
J.Watson u18.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Billy Ward
7d ago
Last 30d: 26-37-0 (+4.4u)
TB +9.5-118
1u
💰🦡 Jake
7d ago
Last 30d: 113-96-5 (+13.6u)
B.Mayfield o15.5 Rush Yds-110
1.5u
Under 45.5-110
1.1u
Player Prop Savant
7d ago
Last 30d: 32-32-0 (-2.5u)
B.Mayfield o22.5 Pass Comp-105
1.5u
Pass the Prop play.
Check out breakdown over on Player Prop Savant YouTube channel!
Player Props
7d ago
Last 30d: 9-13-0 (-3.6u)
T.Kelce o60.5 Rec Yds-114
1.32u
Lock & Cash
7d ago
Last 30d: 27-24-0 (-2.1u)
N.Gray o21.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
R.White o3.5 Recs-113
1u
PvB Bets
7d ago
Last 30d: 17-18-0 (-3.0u)
N.Gray o21.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
N. Gray ⬆️ 21.5 RecY (-115 @ MGM)(+104 w/ boost)
THE BLITZ 📽️: 27.78 RecY
Let's start by talking about usage/time on the field for Gray. Here are his snap % over the last 4 games:
@ LAC: 52%
Vs NO: 61%
@ SF: 67%
@ LV: 72%
His snap shares have steadily been rising in an offensive without Rice and the results have been there too. He's cleared this line in all 4 games, averaging just under 40 receiving yards per game. He's had 3 targets or more in 3 of those 4 games and has caught every target (mostly because they are typically high percentage throws).
Everyone may be on Kelce today given the matchup, but I'm seeing more value in Gray. TB has allowed the 3rd most receiving yards to opposing TE's per game this season (64.8). What's interesting is they are only allowing 14th most receptions, so their yards per reception allowed is high. They are allowing 12.96 yards per reception to TE's.
Hopkins should get more work this week, but shouldn't cut into any of Gray's snaps given the different positions they play. Tampa blitzes at the 4th highest rate this season, which could force the ball out of Mahomes hands early and Gray/Kelce stand to benefit for that.
Ray Monohan
7d ago
Last 30d: 15-10-0 (+3.2u)
KC -8.5-110
0.75u
Sandy Plashkes
7d ago
Last 30d: 122-118-0 (+7.4u)
Under 45.5-110
1.1u
Gilles Gallant
7d ago
Last 30d: 48-97-1 (+0.5u)
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230
0.75u
Sandy Plashkes
7d ago
Last 30d: 122-118-0 (+7.4u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+100
1u
Brian Bitler
7d ago
Last 30d: 51-48-4 (+3.1u)
KC -9-110
3u
Ryan Sura
7d ago
Last 30d: 113-116-3 (-7.1u)
Under 45.5-112
1.12u
The Propfessor
7d ago
Last 30d: 51-35-0 (+8.8u)
K.Hunt o16.5 Rush Att-120
1u
MNF Play. Writeup coming on X
Kyle Murray
7d ago
Last 30d: 100-113-0 (-16.3u)
K.Hunt o16.5 Rush Att-120
1u
R.White o23.5 Rec Yds-120
1.2u
D.Hopkins o3.5 Recs-138
1u
Prop Bet Guy
7d ago
Last 30d: 86-70-0 (+6.3u)
N.Gray o22.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Gray is over in 4/L4, corresponding with the injury to Rice. L3 weeks, his snap count: 61%, 67%, 72%. A lot of that is blocking, but his route share is trending in the right direction too. Hopkins’ snaps will be up this week, but Insee Gray still factoring in. Watson and Worthy are more big-play, low volume receivers - Gray (along with Kelce, obviously) will mix in more in the intermediate (especially with no JuJu either). Gray is actually the leader amongst active chief’s pass catchers in yards per target.
And this is a fantastic matchup: the Bucs allow the third most receiving yards to TEs this season on the highest yards per target. 29th in DVOA vs the position as well (per FTN Fantasy).
And this is an achievable line even if the game does get out of hand in the chiefs favor. I do expect KC to dominate possession too.
Gilles Gallant
8d ago
Last 30d: 48-97-1 (+0.5u)
C.Otton Anytime TD Scorer Yes+333
1.67u
Dale Tanhardt
8d ago
Last 30d: 20-50-0 (+51.4u)
D.Hopkins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+195
2.93u
Babs .
11d ago
Last 30d: 55-53-2 (-3.0u)
P.Mahomes o0.5 Int+105
1u
I mean he keeps doing it
Jim Sannes
13d ago
Last 30d: 16-29-0 (+6.1u)
Over 45.5-115
0.87u
This has also gone up during the day, but I've got the total at 47.8, personally. Both offenses were very efficient in Week 8 despite key injuries at receiver.
PRO Insights
Buccaneers
TB Insights
- Featured InsightThe Buccaneers have attempted 192 passes from the shotgun this season -- T-8th-most in NFL; the Chiefs have allowed 6.8 yards per dropback against the shotgun this season -- T-6th-worst in NFL.
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Chiefs
KC Insights
- Featured InsightThe Chiefs have thrown the ball 10 yards or less 75.0% of pass attempts this season -- T-4th-highest in NFL; the Buccaneers have allowed 6.6 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards this season -- T-4th-worst in NFL.
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Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Chiefs are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Chiefs are 1-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Chiefs are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Chiefs' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Chiefs' 4 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | 4-3-1 | 2-2 | 2-1-1 | 3-3-1 | 1-0 |
Buccaneers | 5-4 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 3-3 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | 4-4 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 0-1 |
Buccaneers | 7-2 | 4-1 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 5-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | 8-0 | N/A | N/A | 7-0 | 1-0 |
Buccaneers | 4-5 | N/A | N/A | 2-1 | 2-4 |
Last 5 Matchups
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Injury Updates
Buccaneers Injuries
- Mike EvansWR
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
- Sterling ShepardWR
Shepard is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
- Chris GodwinWR
Godwin is out with foot
Out
- Greg GainesDE
Gaines is questionable with calf
Questionable
- Evan DeckersLS
Deckers is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
- Tykee SmithDB
Smith is questionable with concussion
Questionable
- Kameron JohnsonWR
Johnson is out with ankle
Out
Chiefs Injuries
- JuJu Smith-SchusterWR
Smith-Schuster is out with hamstring
Out
- Hollywood BrownWR
Hollywood Brown (shoulder surgery) headed to IR.
Out
- Isiah PachecoRB
Isiah Pacheco set to miss "real time" with fibula fracture, per Ian Rapoport.
Out
- Rashee RiceWR
Rice is out with leg
Out
- Jared WileyTE
Wiley is out with knee
Out
Team Stats
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Buccaneers at Chiefs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Buccaneers 4-5 | o17.5-102 | u17.5-118 |
Chiefs 8-0 | o27.5-110 | u27.5-110 |