How Day 1 of NFL Free Agency Has Impacted Super Bowl Odds & 2021 Futures

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Free Agency Negotiation Period Day 1

Patriots’ Super Bowl Odds Improve To 30-1

If the first day of the NFL negotiation period is any indication, Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots don’t want another 7-9 season.

They agreed to terms with six free agents, spending more guaranteed money in one day than they have in any offseason over the last 10 years. As a result, their Super Bowl odds have moved from 33-1 to 30-1 at DraftKings, which translates to an increase in implied probability from 2.9% to 3.2% (convert odds using our calculator).

Pre-Free Agency

The NFL turns its calendar over to a new “year” this Wednesday, but the free agency frenzy really begins on Monday.

The negotiation period opens on Monday afternoon, kicking off a 48-hour window in which teams can negotiate deals with players they can officially start signing at 4 p.m. ET on Wednesday.

While this free agent class doesn’t have a headliner as prominent as Tom Brady, whose signing with the Buccaneers in 2020 moved their Super Bowl odds from 50-1 to 18-1 (for good reason), the coming wave of player movement could still shift NFL futures.

With that in mind, find the latest Super Bowl odds and more 2021 futures as we head into free agency below.

Note: All odds as of Sunday night and via DraftKings.

Super Bowl Odds

Team Odds
Chiefs +525
Buccaneers +850
Packers +1100
Bills +1200
Ravens +1300
Rams +1300
49ers +1500
Browns +2000
Colts +2200
Saints +2200
Dolphins +2500
Cowboys +2800
Titans +2800
Seahawks +3000
Chargers +3300
Patriots +3300
Steelers +3300
Cardinals +4000
Panthers +4000
Bears +5000
Raiders +5000
Vikings +5000
Washington +5000
Broncos +6000
Falcons +6600
Eagles +6600
Giants +7000
Jets +7000
Jaguars +7500
Bengals +8000
Lions +15000
Texans +15000

More NFL Futures

Conference Odds

Team Odds
NFC
Buccaneers +425
Packers +525
Rams +600
49ers +700
Saints +1000
Cowboys +1300
Seahawks +1400
Cardinals +1800
Panthers +1800
Bears +2200
Vikings +2200
Washington +2200
Falcons +2800
Eagles +2800
Giants +3000
Lions +6600
AFC
Chiefs +260
Bills +600
Ravens +650
Browns +1000
Colts +1100
Dolphins +1200
Titans +1300
Chargers +1600
Steelers +1600
Patriots +2000
Raiders +2200
Broncos +2800
Jets +3000
Jaguars +3300
Bengals +4000
Texans +6600

Division Odds

Team Odds
NFC West
Rams +175
49ers +200
Seahawks +300
Cardinals +550
AFC West
Chiefs -335
Chargers +450
Raiders +1100
Broncos +1400
NFC North
Packers -230
Vikings +400
Bears +475
Lions +2800
AFC North
Ravens +110
Browns +175
Steelers +350
Bengals +2500
NFC South
Buccaneers -134
Saints +225
Panthers +600
Falcons +1100
AFC South
Colts -106
Titans +125
Jaguars +1200
Texans +1400
NFC East
Cowboys +100
Washington +325
Eagles +400
Giants +500
AFC East
Bills -159
Dolphins +300
Patriots +450
Jets +1400

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