How Day 1 of NFL Free Agency Has Impacted Super Bowl Odds & 2021 Futures

Free Agency Negotiation Period Day 1

Patriots’ Super Bowl Odds Improve To 30-1

If the first day of the NFL negotiation period is any indication, Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots don’t want another 7-9 season.

They agreed to terms with six free agents, spending more guaranteed money in one day than they have in any offseason over the last 10 years. As a result, their Super Bowl odds have moved from 33-1 to 30-1 at DraftKings, which translates to an increase in implied probability from 2.9% to 3.2% (convert odds using our calculator).

Pre-Free Agency

The NFL turns its calendar over to a new “year” this Wednesday, but the free agency frenzy really begins on Monday.

The negotiation period opens on Monday afternoon, kicking off a 48-hour window in which teams can negotiate deals with players they can officially start signing at 4 p.m. ET on Wednesday.

While this free agent class doesn’t have a headliner as prominent as Tom Brady, whose signing with the Buccaneers in 2020 moved their Super Bowl odds from 50-1 to 18-1 (for good reason), the coming wave of player movement could still shift NFL futures.

With that in mind, find the latest Super Bowl odds and more 2021 futures as we head into free agency below.

Note: All odds as of Sunday night and via DraftKings.

Super Bowl Odds

More NFL Futures

Conference Odds

Division Odds