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Chiefs vs. Ravens NFL Betting Model Predictions: The Big Edge for Sunday Night Football

Chiefs vs. Ravens NFL Betting Model Predictions: The Big Edge for Sunday Night Football article feature image

Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates with Trey Smith #65

  • Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL betting model predictions are showing an edge for Week 2's Sunday Night Football matchup.
  • The Chiefs are 3.5-point favorites over the Ravens according to the latest NFL odds, with an over/under of 54 points.
  • By comparing the latest Sunday Night Football odds to current lines, we can pinpoint the top Chiefs vs. Ravens betting model edge.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Odds

Chiefs Odds -3.5
Ravens Odds +3.5
Over/Under 54
Date Sunday, Sept. 19
Time 8:20 p.m. ET

*Odds as of Sunday morning

Chiefs vs. Ravens is certainly a very high-profile Sunday Night Football matchup, but it’s surprising to see the perception of these teams from mainstream media analysts, fans and recreational bettors after just one week of action.

In front of a nationally-televised Monday Night Football audience, the Ravens lost to the Raiders in Las Vegas.

On the other hand, the Chiefs gave us a classic Kansas City comeback by storming from behind to beat the Cleveland Browns at Arrowhead Stadium.

At the time of writing, 78% of spread tickets are laying the points with the Chiefs, tying them as the most public side of NFL Week 2 with the New England Patriots.

There’s no question bettors are overreacting to Week 1 results, so is Baltimore the smart play to bounce back on Sunday Night Football?

Or is the Chiefs vs. Ravens over/under providing the most value instead?

Thanks to our NFL PRO Projections we know the answer.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Betting Model Pick

The projected Chiefs vs. Ravens edge is rooted in the value of key NFL numbers.

Three-point margins of victory are (by far) the most common in NFL games due to the propensity of field goals, making 3-point spreads the most important number for spread bettors.