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Philadelphia heads to Chicago at 2-0 and as the clear favorite, but the price on the other side is what stands out. Caleb Williams is out with a hamstring injury, Case Keenum is expected to start, and the market moved toward the Eagles quickly.
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Here are the Eagles-Bears prediction markets worth a closer look before the 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff.
Eagles vs. Bears on Kalshi
On Kalshi, you trade Yes or No contracts on real events. Each contract costs between 1 and 99 cents, and the price shows how likely the crowd thinks the outcome is. If it happens, the contract pays $1. If not, it pays nothing.
Eagles vs. Bears is the only game on Monday's slate, but it offers far more than a winner market. There are spreads, point totals, team totals, first-half lines, first team to score a touchdown, and player markets for passing, rushing and receiving. Each one lets you act on a different piece of your read of the game.
The Moneyline
The moneyline sat close to even for days, then swung toward Philadelphia around the time Williams got hurt against Minnesota. That reaction makes sense. Keenum, 38, hasn't started a game since December 2023, and Williams' 107 rushing yards gave Chicago a dimension a backup won't fully replace.
But Chicago's offense doesn't depend only on the quarterback. The Bears piled up 291 rushing yards against Carolina in Week 1, and D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai have combined for more than 300 on the ground through two games. Philadelphia is preparing for Chicago's scheme, not for one player under center. The Eagles are also thin right now. Dallas Goedert, Hollywood Brown and tackle Fred Johnson are all out, and the Eagles beat Tennessee on a late drive even though they gave the ball away twice more than they took it.
That's why we like Chicago. The Bears' "Yes" contract costs about half of what the Eagles' Yes does, so a home win returns close to three times the price paid. Keenum needs a clean night, and the run game needs to keep Philadelphia's offense on the sideline. The Bears scored only three points against the Vikings, so the doubt is real, but the price already reflects it.
Spread and Team Totals
The "Eagles win by over 3.5 points" contract trades near even, so the crowd sees roughly a four-point game. Trading No on it is the Chicago side. It pays if the Bears win or lose by three or fewer, which gives you a cushion the moneyline doesn't.
The totals fit that picture. The game total sits at 41.5, with Philadelphia near 23.5 and Chicago near 18.5. The Bears' team total is priced close to even, which is a fair number for a run-first offense that wants to control the clock.
Player Markets to Watch
Saquon Barkley's rushing-plus-receiving yards market sits near a coin flip. A stinger on the opening play against Tennessee limited him to four carries, while Tank Bigsby took 13. Barkley called it a "wake-up call." He was a full participant in practice by Friday and is listed as available, so his workload is what the market is trying to price. Swift's yardage market leans toward Yes after his 169 rushing yards so far.
Through the air, the market expects DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks to clear their receiving lines. With Brown and Goedert sidelined, targets have to go somewhere.
First Touchdown Market
The first-team-to-score-a-touchdown market also leans Philadelphia, but the gap between the teams is much smaller than on the moneyline. If you expect Chicago to lean on its run game early, this contract offers another way to trade that view at a different price.
Prices will keep moving until kickoff, especially once Chicago's quarterback is confirmed. For now, Chicago is our pick, and the other markets give you more ways to act on the same read.
