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The Dallas Cowboys (1-2) and Houston Texans (0-3) will clash in Week 4 of the NFL season this afternoon. Kickoff for this Lone Star State battle is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Reliant Stadium in Houston, Texas. The game will broadcast live on FOX.
The Texans are 3-point favorites over the Cowboys on the spread, with the over/under set at 47.5 points. Houston is a -156 moneyline favorite to win outright while Dallas is a +132 underdog to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Cowboys vs Texans predictions for NFL Week 4.
Cowboys vs Texans Prediction
- Cowboys vs Texans pick: Texans -3 (-110)
My Cowboys vs Texans best bet is Houston to cover the spread (-3), with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
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Cowboys vs Texans Odds
| Cowboys Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -110 | 47.5 -115o / -105u | +132 |
| Texans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -110 | 47.5 -115o / -105u | -156 |
Cowboys vs Texans NFL Week 4 Preview
Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview: Nightmare Situational Spot
The Cowboys hit the road after participating in an international game in Brazil following a devastating loss to the Ravens, which is historically a nightmare situational spot.
The primary issue for Dallas, however, is a defense that is completely falling apart.
The Cowboys are last in defensive EPA per play and are decimated by injuries at the second level with DeMarvion Overshown, Cobie Durant, Malik Hooker, and Dee Winters all banged up. Dallas could be be forced to trot out multiple rookies at linebacker.
Cowboys defensive coordinator Christian Parker continues to run heavy single-high safety coverage, which is a fatal structural flaw against this specific matchup.
Houston Texans Betting Preview: Nico Collins Returns
The Texans are far better than their record implies, having narrowly missed wins against Buffalo, Cincinnati, and Indianapolis.
Everything changes for Houston with the return of wide receiver Nico Collins. He is a legitimate superstar who shreds single-high coverage, and Houston’s rushing success rate increases significantly when Collins is on the field to stretch the defense.
Defensively, Houston boasts arguably the best corner trio and edge-rush tandem (Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter) in the league.
The Texans should be able to dominate a Dallas offensive line that is missing star guard Tyler Smith.
Cowboys vs Texans Prediction, Betting Analysis
I am laying the points with the Texans here.
C.J. Stroud and Nico Collins historically obliterate the exact single-high looks that Dallas has been running at a high rate this season.
Houston’s superb defensive front will likely overwhelm Dak Prescott, while the Texans offense capitalizes on a battered, rookie-laden Cowboys linebacker corps.
Since 2015, Week 4 teams with at least one win facing 0-3 teams are 24-9-1 (73%) ATS. I'll lay the field goal and back Houston to get off the schneid.
Pick: Texans -3 (-110)
