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The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) and Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) will square off in Week 4 of the NFL season this afternoon. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. The game will broadcast live on CBS.
The Bengals are 2.5-point favorites over the Jaguars on the spread, with the over/under set at 51.5 total points. Cincinnati is a -134 moneyline favorite to win outright, while Jacksonville is a +114 underdog to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Jaguars vs Bengals predictions for Week 4.
My Jaguars vs Bengals Prediction
- Jaguars vs Bengals pick: Jaguars +2.5 (-108)
My Jaguars vs Bengals best bet is Jacksonville to cover the spread (+2.5), with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
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Jaguars vs Bengals Odds
| Jaguars Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -108 | 51.5 -105o / -115u | +114 |
| Bengals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -112 | 51.5 -105o / -115u | -134 |
Jaguars vs Bengals NFL Week 4 Preview
Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview: The Schematic Edge
The Jaguars bounced back from a brutal meltdown against the Broncos by waxing the Patriots in Week 3. Trevor Lawrence tossed three touchdown passes, the running game went off 137 yards and two touchdowns, and the defense feasted on the ghost of Drake Maye.
When Liam Coen's squad wins, they blow teams out.
Eight of Jacksonville's last 10 victories have come by at least two touchdowns, with six of those decided by 22 or more points.
Coen’s offense is uniquely equipped to exploit Cincinnati's structural weaknesses by deploying heavy 12-personnel sets and spreading the field to attack the boundary.
Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview: Overpriced
The Bengals are 2-1 — they should probably be 3-0 — but they are vastly overpriced in the market now.
The Bengals beat Tampa Bay strictly due to a +22 EPA turnover variance, they were outgained 374 to 260 by Houston in Week 2, and their defense surrendered 411 yards to old-man Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers in Week 3.
Cincinnati's defense has a fatal flaw: it cannot defend 12-personnel. Last season, the Bengals were the worst defense in NFL history against two-tight end sets, allowing 6.6 yards per play.
With backup nickel Jalen Davis on IR, the Bengals are forcing Dax Hill inside to the slot, which severely weakens their outside boundary coverage with DJ Ivey and Tacario Davis.
Additionally, teams facing Miami on deck are just 15-26 against the spread (ATS) over the last five years, suggesting Cincinnati could be looking ahead to its upcoming Florida trip and bye week.
Jaguars vs Bengals Prediction, Betting Analysis
I'm taking the Jaguars +2.5 in this game, and I will also sprinkle the moneyline. I think this line should be a pick'em.
Cincinnati is due for regression, and its defense is a schematic nightmare against a Jacksonville offense that can mash them with heavy tight ends or isolate their backup cornerbacks.
Pick: Jaguars +2.5 (-108)
