Dolphins vs Patriots Player Props: Fade JuJu Smith-Schuster

Dolphins vs Patriots Player Props: Fade JuJu Smith-Schuster article feature image
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Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images. Pictured: JuJu Smith-Schuster (No. 7).

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Sunday, Sept. 17
8:20 p.m. ET
NBC

JuJu Smith-Schuster

Longest Reception Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-120, BetMGM)

Smith-Schuster only managed to post a 4/33/0 receiving line in a game where Mac Jones dropped back to pass 58 times. He only ran a route on 47% of Mac Jones dropbacks and didn’t play down the stretch when they nearly came back and won.

This is a huge red flag for Smith-Schuster's potential playing time this week, and his knee still might not be 100% following offseason surgery.We could see DeVante Parker return tonight, which would only make it tougher for his to see an increase in snaps/volume.

Smith-Schuster only saw an Average Depth of Target of 4.3 and since he’s clearly running routes underneath, I think the best way to fade him is the longest reception market.

I have him staying under 16.5 around 65% of the time and would bet this down to -155. Still like it at 15.5 since I project him staying under that about 60% of the time. I also think there are more paths to him finishing closer to his floor.

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