The Washington Commanders (4-10) host the Philadelphia Eagles (9-5) to open the Week 16 Saturday NFL slate on December 20. Kickoff from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., is set for 5 p.m. ET. Eagles vs Commanders will broadcast on FOX.
The Eagles are 7-point favorites over the Commanders on the spread (Eagles -7); the game total is 44.5 points. The Eagles are -330 favorites on the moneyline and the Commanders are +265 home underdogs.
Below, you can find our Eagles vs Commanders picks for Week 16, which include two predictions for the spread and an anytime touchdown prop.
Eagles vs Commanders Picks & Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 5 p.m. | |
| 5 p.m. | |
| 5 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Eagles vs Commanders Odds
- Eagles vs Commanders Moneyline: Eagles -330, Commanders +265
- Eagles vs Commanders Spread: Eagles -7, Commanders +7
- Eagles vs Commanders Total: 44.5
Eagles vs Commanders odds via bet365
Eagles vs Commanders Spread Prediction: The Case for Washington
The Eagles continue to sit atop Action Network's luck rankings, week after week. They are coming off of a dismantling of the Raiders, and the Commanders are coming off of a win against the Giants.
The Commanders are one of the unluckiest teams in the NFL, coming in at 31st. They have a more successful passing attack than the Eagles, ranking 11th in dropback success rate, while the Eagles are 21st in dropback success rate.
Statistically, the Commanders' offense outpaces the Eagles', and that should be enough to keep this divisional game close.
Pick: Commanders +7 (-110); bet to +6.5
Eagles vs Commanders Spread Pick: The Case for Philly
The Eagles dominated the lowly Raiders last week en route to an easy cover against the spread. Divisional matchups have the reputation of being played closely no matter the circumstances or records of each team, but Philly is in position to win with margin once again in this spot tonight.
The Commanders can't stop the run. Their defense is allowing 5.2 yards per carry over their past five games, and more importantly, their success rate allowed ranks 30th over that same span.
This means Jalen Hurts will have the luxury of always staying ahead of the sticks, and won’t be called upon to make throws to convert in long down-and-distance situations.
The Eagles defense is the unit that will play the run well in this game, as they have made improvements in their scheme even without Jalen Carter. Philly has surrendered just 3.7 yards per carry over the past two games.
Marcus Mariota’s passer rating is an abysmal 59.4 when pressured and the Eagles will have plenty of opportunities to get after him if the Commanders can't rush effectively.
A late turnover should secure a double-digit point victory for the defending Super Bowl champs.
Pick: Eagles -6.5 (-118)
Eagles vs Commanders Anytime Touchdown Props: Saquon Barkley
By Sean Koerner
I'm going to do something crazy here — at least for me– and take somebody that has minus odds with Saquon Barkley (-115).
While Barkley's endured a down year, he has a really good schedule to close out the season. He also enters tonight's game with touchdowns in back-to-back games against the Chargers and Raiders. One of those scores came on a 52-yard scamper and the other near the goal line; he's starting to see touchdowns on plays that he would normally be phased out of.
I think he's trending up and this is a good matchup against the Commanders. I'm projecting Barkley anytime TD odds closer to -135.
Pick: Saquon Barkley Anytime Touchdown (-115)
