Falcons vs Colts Anytime Touchdown Scorer Props: Alec Pierce, Tyler Allgeier

Falcons vs Colts Anytime Touchdown Picks

Alec Pierce Anytime Touchdown (+275)

I know he has no touchdowns this season — because RB Jonathan Taylor and WR Michael Pittman Jr. have been hogging them all — but this game lines up well for WR Alec Pierce.

Pierce is the Colts' deep threat and is coming off a 16-target game while playing the most snaps of any Colts WR over the last three games.

Another reason why I’m targeting Piece is that the Falcons play single-high safety at a 72% rate, which is first in the NFL. Pierce leads the Colts in targets per route run and yards per route run against single-high safety looks this season.

Pick: Alec Pierce Anytime Touchdown (+275)

Premium picks, tools & analysis

Track & follow smart money

Biggest player prop edges

Real-time expert pick alerts

SAVE 66% NOW!

Tyler Allgeier Anytime Touchdown (+350)

Based on what the Colts defense has done this season, and the addition of CB Sauce Gardner, the expectation would be to bet on TE Kyle Pitts since the Colts have allowed a TD to a TE in four straight games. But at +250, I can’t quite get there given how inconsistent the Falcons' passing offense has been this season.

Instead, I’m going back to RB2 Tyler Allgeier at +310. He’s got the same amount of red-zone carries as Bijan Robinson (15) but has 10 carries inside the 10-yard line compared to just five for Robinson.

With Allgeier scoring a touchdown in 4-of-8 games, I expect the Falcons to go back to him and give him 10+ carries again. The Falcons are 1-4 straight up (SU) in the five games Allgeier has fewer than 10 carries compared to 3-1 when he has 10+.

Pick: Tyler Allgeier Anytime Touchdown (+350)