Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Will Giants or Eagles Players Win Your Fantasy Football Matchup?
Credit:
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Saquon Barkley, Sterling Shepard
- Need a Monday Night Football miracle from Saquon Barkley, Zach Ertz or others to win your first round of fantasy football playoffs?
- Sean Koerner calculates the probability of key Giants and Eagles players scoring enough points to win your Week 14 matchups.
Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy football matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.
So what’re your chances of a Monday night miracle win?
I simulated tonight’s matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 24 points from Saquon Barkley? He has a 11.9% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.
Here are the players I’ll touch on:
- Eagles: Carson Wentz, Miles Sanders, Alshon Jeffrey, Nelson Agholor, Zach Ertz, Dallas Goedert
- Giants: Eli Manning, Saquon Barkley, Golden Tate, Sterling Shepard, Darius Slayton, Kaden Smith
Now let’s dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)
Carson Wentz, QB, Eagles
Eli Manning, QB, Giants
Miles Sanders, RB, Eagles
Saquon Barkley, RB, Giants
Alshon Jeffrey, WR, Eagles
Nelson Agholor, WR, Eagles
Golden Tate, WR, Giants
Sterling Shepard, WR, Giants
Darius Slayton, WR, Giants
Zach Ertz, TE, Eagles
Dallas Goedert, TE, Eagles
Kaden Smith, TE, Giants
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