Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Will Giants or Eagles Players Win Your Fantasy Football Matchup?

Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Will Giants or Eagles Players Win Your Fantasy Football Matchup? article feature image
Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Saquon Barkley, Sterling Shepard

  • Need a Monday Night Football miracle from Saquon Barkley, Zach Ertz or others to win your first round of fantasy football playoffs?
  • Sean Koerner calculates the probability of key Giants and Eagles players scoring enough points to win your Week 14 matchups.

Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy football matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.

So what’re your chances of a Monday night miracle win?

I simulated tonight’s matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 24 points from Saquon Barkley? He has a 11.9% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.

Here are the players I’ll touch on:

  • Eagles: Carson Wentz, Miles Sanders, Alshon Jeffrey, Nelson Agholor, Zach Ertz, Dallas Goedert
  • Giants: Eli Manning, Saquon Barkley, Golden Tate, Sterling Shepard, Darius Slayton, Kaden Smith

Now let’s dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)

Carson Wentz, QB, Eagles

Eli Manning, QB, Giants

Miles Sanders, RB, Eagles

Saquon Barkley, RB, Giants

Alshon Jeffrey, WR, Eagles

Nelson Agholor, WR, Eagles

Golden Tate, WR, Giants

Sterling Shepard, WR, Giants

Darius Slayton, WR, Giants

Zach Ertz, TE, Eagles

Dallas Goedert, TE, Eagles

Kaden Smith, TE, Giants