Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills look to continue their undefeated start to the season on Thursday Night Football against the Miami Dolphins.
Allen has impressed through two games, throwing for 542 yards and two touchdowns and adding 89 yards and two touchdowns on the ground.
For Thursday Night Football, I'm targeting Allen's rush attempts prop. Find my over/under pick for TNF below.
For more Thursday Night Football picks, check out our Dolphins vs Bills predictions and best bets.
Josh Allen Player Props: Over/Under Pick, Rushing Attempts
The Dolphins have a sub-20% pressure rate so far in 2025, they were also almost exactly at 20% in this metric in 2024.
Josh Allen scrambled 14.7% of the time against pressure last year, but just 3.8% in a clean pocket. Considering the Bills are massive favorites (-12.5 on the spread), Allen likely won’t be asked to do much with his legs.
In fact, Allen totaled just four rushing attempts in two games against the Dolphins last year.
There's always a risk of kneeldowns at the end of the game, but if the game is a blowout there's a chance backup QB Mitch Trubisky takes those snaps.
Trubisky took kneeldowns in six of the Bills' 13 wins last season.
Pick: Josh Allen Under 6.5 Rush Attempts (-114)