HomeRight ArrowNFL

Josh Allen Player Props: Over/Under Pick for TNF

Josh Allen Player Props: Over/Under Pick for TNF article feature image
1 min read
Credit:

Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images. Pictured: Josh Allen.

Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills look to continue their undefeated start to the season on Thursday Night Football against the Miami Dolphins.

Allen has impressed through two games, throwing for 542 yards and two touchdowns and adding 89 yards and two touchdowns on the ground.

For Thursday Night Football, I'm targeting Allen's rush attempts prop. Find my over/under pick for TNF below.

Quickslip

For more Thursday Night Football picks, check out our Dolphins vs Bills predictions and best bets.

Dolphins vs Bills Predictions, Props, Picks, Best Bets for Thursday Night Football Image

Josh Allen Player Props: Over/Under Pick, Rushing Attempts

Dolphins Logo
Thursday, Sept. 18
8:15 p.m. ET
Prime Video
Bills Logo
Josh Allen Under 6.5 Rush Attempts (-114)
FanDuel Logo

The Dolphins have a sub-20% pressure rate so far in 2025, they were also almost exactly at 20% in this metric in 2024.

Josh Allen scrambled 14.7% of the time against pressure last year, but just 3.8% in a clean pocket. Considering the Bills are massive favorites (-12.5 on the spread), Allen likely won’t be asked to do much with his legs.

In fact, Allen totaled just four rushing attempts in two games against the Dolphins last year.

There's always a risk of kneeldowns at the end of the game, but if the game is a blowout there's a chance backup QB Mitch Trubisky takes those snaps.

Trubisky took kneeldowns in six of the Bills' 13 wins last season.

Pick: Josh Allen Under 6.5 Rush Attempts (-114)

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.