The Las Vegas Raiders remained unbeaten at 3-0 after a 35-27 road win over the New Orleans Saints in Week 3. Las Vegas overcame a 20-16 deficit entering the fourth quarter by scoring 19 unanswered points to close out the game. The Raiders' offense found another gear late, while the defense shut out New Orleans in the final quarter to preserve the victory.
Through three weeks, Las Vegas has combined a productive offense with timely defensive plays to become one of the NFL's early undefeated teams.
To stay updated on those swings, refer to the embedded Polymarket widget below for real-time contract pricing. In this article, we will go over the main markets and what makes their odds move.
Updated Las Vegas Raiders Season Odds
Las Vegas opened the season with a convincing 27-13 win over the Miami Dolphins, giving new head coach Klint Kubiak a victory in his first regular-season game. Kirk Cousins threw two touchdown passes in the opener, including scores to Jack Bech and Ashton Jeanty, while Jeanty also added a rushing touchdown.
The Raiders followed that performance with a 26-14 win over the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 2, moving to 2-0 for the first time since 2021. Cousins played an efficient game against the Chargers, while the defense repeatedly pressured Los Angeles and helped the Raiders build control of the matchup.
Raiders Divisional & Conference Odds
The Raiders trade near the bottom of the AFC West board, reflecting market skepticism regarding how quickly Kubiak can turn around a 3-win roster.
Raiders Playoff Odds
Postseason contracts carry a heavy discount, presenting a great chance for traders who believe Kubiak's system and new additions can beat baseline expectations.
Raiders Super Bowl Odds
At the national level, Las Vegas sits firmly in the lower pricing tier. Contract values reflect a franchise in the early stages of a strategic build rather than an immediate championship contender.
Our Favorite Raiders Team Contracts
On prediction markets, structural continuity is one of the single, most decisive factors when establishing a franchise's odds on team contracts. Currently, the Raiders offer the opposite setup: a complete tactical reset under Klint Kubiak and a huge question mark over who will be the starting QB.
Valuations across scoring tiers, point totals, and touchdown contracts hinge on how rapidly the offense adapts to Kubiak’s versatile, motion-heavy system. For traders, the critical metrics to track aren't traditional box-score stats, but rather efficiency indicators:
- Passing Rate Over Expectation (PROE): Measures whether play-calling leans aggressive or conservative.
- Early-Down EPA/Play: High early-down efficiency prevents predictable 3rd-and-long situations.
Because Las Vegas struggled to hold opponents off the scoreboard in 2025, any early defensive progress under Leonard could offer undervalued entry points on "Points Allowed" props.
Taking into account their poor 2025-26 season and the notable shifts within the structure, it's no surprise that the Raiders appear on the lower tier of teams in most season-long contracts. From Touchdowns Leader to Rushing Yards and similar markets. As it stands, Las Vegas remains far from the market favorites.
