MNF Sharp Report: Pros Driving Massive Lions vs. Packers Spread Movement
Credit: Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford
Recreational bettors love wagering on primetime NFL games. Because the most fans will be watching these nationally-televised matchups, standalone games attract massive handles from those looking for “action.”
However, sharps aren’t worried about when the game is on and if the matchup itself is considered “big.” The only factor that matters is betting value.
Odds as of Monday 9 a.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
For example, last night’s Steelers vs. Chargers game on Sunday Night Football finished as the most heavily bet game of the day according to The Action Network’s public betting data.
However, despite drawing so much overall action, professionals largely ignored it.
On the other hand, tonight’s Lions vs. Packers Monday Night Football matchup is seeing plenty of public action, and wiseguys have also been pounding this point spread throughout the week, driving massive line movement.
Let’s take a look at where sharps are putting their money on MNF.
Lions vs. Packers Sharp Report
The Packers opened as 6-point favorites, but quickly dropped to -4.5 as sharp early action hammered the Lions and the points.
According to Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, pros immediately steamed Detroit, explaining why oddsmakers were forced to make the early adjustment.
And despite 66% of bets and 67% of the money currently backing the Packers, steady action from respected bettors has continued to come down on Detroit all week, pushing the Lions vs. Packers spread to 3.5 at the time of writing.
Not every game has a “sharp side,” and even less see true sharp vs. public disagreement. With that said, tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup is setting up as a classic showdown between recreational and professional bettors.
With most sportsbooks projecting a move to 3, it’ll be interesting to monitor if sharp buyback is waiting to grab Green Bay at such a key number.