The Miami Dolphins and Indianapolis Colts will face off in Week 1 of the NFL season this afternoon. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. The game will broadcast live on CBS.
The Colts surprisingly enter the season with Daniel Jones as their starting quarterback instead of Anthony Richardson. As for the Dolphins, the vibes don't seem great with Tyreek Hill and the offense once again hinging on the health of Tua Tagovailoa.
The Colts are 1-point favorites over the Dolphins on the spread (Colts -1), with the over/under set at 46.5 total points. Indianapolis is a -115 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Miami is -105 to pull of the upset.
Let's get into my Dolphins vs Colts predictions and NFL picks for Sunday afternoon below.
Dolphins vs Colts Prediction, Picks
- Dolphins vs Colts picks: Dolphins -6.5 (+240), Dolphins -13.5 (+560)
My Colts vs. Dolphins best bet is split between two Miami alternate spreads at -6.5 and -13.5, with the best price tags currently available at BetMGM and FanDuel. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Dolphins vs Colts Odds for NFL Week 1
| Dolphins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -110 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | -105 |
| Colts Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -110 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | -115 |
- Dolphins vs Colts spread: Colts -1
- Dolphins vs Colts over/under: 46.5 total points
- Dolphins vs Colts moneyline: Colts -115, Dolphins -105
- Dolphins vs Colts best bets: Dolphins -6.5 (+240), Dolphins -13.5 (+560)
Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts NFL Preview
I hate betting games with coin flip lines like this one we have with the Dolphins and Colts. And these teams were certainly a coin flip last year.
Both offenses and defenses ranked between 19th and 22nd in DVOA, a perfect encapsulation of units that are boringly subpar but not terrible, but not exactly good either.
The Colts tend to be terrible in Week 1; they managed to cover last season by a single point, but it was their first Week 1 cover in a decade.
And for some reason, when the Dolphins do win a game, it's usually not close.
In the last two years, Miami has won 18 games with Tua Tagovailoa; 11 of those wins (61%) were by at least seven points, and almost half of them (44%) were by at least 14.
The Dolphins are unpredictable week-to-week, but when their offense is healthy and things go well, they go quite well. Worth noting is that Tyreek Hill and De'Von Achane are reportedly on track to play in this game.
If you've read my season preview content in the lead-up to NFL Week 1, you know that I don't particularly love the Dolphins this season.
However, head coach Mike McDaniel seems always has something special early in the season, and that's a tough ask for new Colts DC Lou Anarumo, whose players will be adjusting to a new system.
Miami's secondary features five entirely new names, but the Colts aren't equipped to test that secondary, and if the Colts do fall behind — do you trust Daniel Jones?
Dolphins vs Colts Betting Predictions
I want no part in a traditional side or moneyline here. I have no idea if either team is good, bad or terrible, nor who will win.
But if the Dolphins do win, they'll probably win by a lot, so let's just play that.
Split your bet between two Miami alternate lines: -6.5 (+240) at BetMGM and -13.5 (+560) at FanDuel.
Dolphins vs Colts Best Bets
- Dolphins -6.5 (+240; BetMGM)
- Dolphins -13.5 (+560; FanDuel)
I have no interest in the traditional spread lines, but I do like Dolphins alternates.
My betting predictions for this game are Dolphins -6.5 (+240) and Dolphins -13.5 (+560).
Moneyline
I have no pick for either side of the moneyline.
Over/Under
I have no play for the game total.
Dolphins vs Colts Betting Trends
For the latest on NFL injuries, be sure to check out our NFL Injury Report page.
