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Dolphins vs Jets Odds, Pick, Prediction | NFL Week 18 Preview

Dolphins vs Jets Odds, Pick, Prediction | NFL Week 18 Preview article feature image
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Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Joe Flacco.

  • The Dolphins are home favorites in Week 18 against the Jets.
  • Joe Flacco will start opposite Skylar Thompson with Miami's playoff hopes on the line.
  • The Great Foosini previews the game and makes his Dolphins vs. Jets pick below.

This could’ve been something. Something that mattered, something that people wanted to watch. A spot in the playoffs could’ve been on the line for the Jets if they didn’t absolutely tank.

Instead, as we look at Dolphins vs. Jets odds, it only matters for one side.

It does matter for Miami, however, as the Dolphins can clinch a playoff berth with a win and a New England loss. That does seem likely given that the Bills can clinch home-field advantage with a win.

Two teams that have been irrelevant for years. Is Mike McDaniel the real deal? This season started like a rocket ship for both teams, but it’s been an absolute disaster since the beginning of the second half of the season. Is Robert Saleh the guy? Is McDaniel confident in his quarterback?

Miami can clinch a playoff berth. Saleh can try to get his guys fired up for a meaningless win. Maybe the Jets will get a Joe Flacco resurgence. Perhaps there’s a spoiler alert on the horizon. Let’s see.

Dolphins vs. Jets Odds

Sunday, Jan. 8
1 p.m. ET
FOX
Dolphins Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-3.5
-110
37.5
-104o / -118u
-194
Jets Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+3.5
-110
37.5
-104o / -118u
+162
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

Dolphins vs. Jets Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Dolphins and Jets match up statistically:

Dolphins vs. Jets DVOA Breakdown
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 25 17
Pass DVOA 25 25
Rush DVOA 21 6
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 5 6
Pass DVOA 3 6
Rush DVOA 16 9

The first time these teams met we actually had a better quarterback matchup, with the dynamic Teddy Bridgewater and Skylar Thompson duo against the wildly underachieving Zach Wilson.

This time, we’re treated to Flacco and Thompson. The Jets have more missing pieces on the offensive line, so they’re really throwing Flacco out there to take some heat. The good news is the Dolphins have a porous defense, so perhaps the old man will be fine.


Bet New York vs. Miami at FanDuel


Let’s talk strengths and weaknesses. I like to talk about the best unit on the field, and with Tua Tagovailoa, that would be the Dolphins offense, but in this game, it is the Jets defense.

New York’s defense is effectively at full strength and put Thompson in a pretzel last time they played.

The Jets offense, on the other hand, has been at the bottom of the league for the past eight weeks. Several offensive linemen are missing, which jeopardizes any potential output from this squad.

That said, I like to buy low on output when everyone expects the worse. I don’t think Flacco is going to be the guy, but I think New York can dial up some plays and take advantage of a weak defense. The problem will be limiting those high-powered corners, but the Jets also have two of the best cornerbacks in the league.

So, this game has a 3.5-point spread with two awful quarterbacks at the helm. Who prevails?

Betting Picks

With Flacco and Thompson, both of whom have incredibly limited data this season, I make the Dolphins a 2.5-point favorite.

Again, the best unit on the field in this game is the Jets defense. Given everything we’ve heard in the media this week, I expect an inspired performance from New York. Playing spoiler is a great feeling, and the draft implications are minimal, so there’s no motivation concern at this point.

Let’s take the Jets with the points here.

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