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Bengals vs. Chiefs NFL Predictions: The AFC Championship Game’s Spread Betting Model Edge

Bengals vs. Chiefs NFL Predictions: The AFC Championship Game’s Spread Betting Model Edge article feature image

Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Joe Burrow #9 of the Cincinnati Bengals

  • NFL Championship Sunday kicks off with Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs at 3 p.m. ET.
  • According to live NFL odds, the Chiefs are the clear favorites against the Bengals in the AFC Championship Game, but how should bettors approach this spread?
  • Using our NFL betting model predictions, we detail the spread edge for Sunday's Bengals vs. Chiefs AFC title matchup.

Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds

Bengals Odds +7.5
Chiefs Odds -7.5
Over/Under 54.5
Date Sunday, Jan. 30
Time 3 p.m. ET

*Odds as of Sunday morning

Following their thrilling win over the Buffalo Bills in the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs, the Kansas City Chiefs are now just one home win away from playing in their third consecutive Super Bowl.

While Kansas City competing for another title isn’t all that surprising, its opponent, the Cincinnati Bengals, also getting that chance very much is.

The betting market is bullish on the Chiefs’ chances as well, evidenced by the 7.5-point AFC Championship Game spread.

In addition, 62% of bettors are laying the touchdown with Andy Reid’s team, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that backing Kansas City is the smart way to bet Bengals vs. Chiefs.

In fact, it might be the AFC Championship Game’s total, not the spread, that’s offering the most value heading into the game.

With this in mind, let’s leverage The Action Network’s NFL PRO Projections to pinpoint how savvy bettors can find the biggest possible edge for Bengals vs. Chiefs.

Bengals vs. Chiefs NFL Prediction

The latest Bengals vs. Chiefs odds are tight, but our NFL betting model is finding an edge in the AFC Championship Game spread.

We project this spread at Cincinnati +5.7, resulting in a 2.5% Bengals edge considering the significance of +7 in NFL betting.

With this in mind, I cannot stress how important it is to visit The Action Network’s NFL Live Odds Page and shop for the best line before getting down on this game.

Many shops have already moved the Bengals vs. Chiefs spread to a touchdown, so it’s imperative for Cincy bettors to peruse the market and grab one of the books still hanging the hook off +7, like BetMGM and FanDuel.

PRO Projections Pick: Bengals +7.5

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