NFL Odds & Picks for Week 9: Sharps Betting Giants vs. Washington, Steelers vs. Cowboys
Photo by Todd Olszewski/Getty Images. Ben Roethlisberger #7, Maurkice Pouncey #53 and Eric Ebron #85 of the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The last few weeks have been slow in terms of good NFL spread bets. This doesn’t mean that there haven’t been smart bets overall, just that they skewed heavily toward over/unders instead of sides.
Well, according to our NFL PRO Report that has flipped in Week 9, with plenty of Sunday matchups offering good spread betting opportunities, including Giants vs. Washington (1 p.m. ET, FOX) and Steelers vs. Cowboys (4:25 p.m. ET, CBS).
Let’s take a look at the factors making each of these such good bets.
NFL Pick: Giants vs. Washington
Looking at opening vs. current odds basically tells the entire story of how sharps are betting Giants vs. Washington.
New York opened as a 3.5-point favorite and is now down to +2.5. Why? Because, according to Sports Insights’ Bet Signals bettors with the resources to move the market hit the Giants at +3.5.
Sharps are also backing up their opinions with big bucks, as 80% of money wagered on just 53% of the tickets has come in on New York as well.
The Giants also fit our historically-profitable “Road Dog, Low Total After Bad Season” PRO System (click here to see system details), which offers a 222-140-10 (61%) against-the-spread (ATS) win rate since 2004.
PRO Report Pick: Giants +2.5
NFL Pick: Steelers vs. Cowboys
Wiseguys have also taken a liking to the Cowboys, who are getting two touchdowns at home against the Steelers.
SI’s Bet Signals are reporting five separate waves of smart money hitting Dallas, illuminating the sharp side of Steelers vs. Cowboys.
While the splits aren’t as drastic as Giants vs. Washington, the bets-vs.-money discrepancy is one to note for Steelers vs. Cowboys as well.
Dallas has attracted 34% of the bets, yet 45% of actual dollars wagered, again detailing where the bigger bets are falling on this game.
The Cowboys fit the criteria of our Team ATS Record PRO System (click here for full system details) which is 177-114-11 (61%) against the spread (ATS) since 2005, detailing there are also situational reasons to like Dallas against Pittsburgh as well.
Two of The Action Network’s NFL betting experts have played the Cowboys as well, giving Dallas four of the five possible PRO Report value indicators.
PRO Report Pick: Cowboys +14.5