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NFL Parlay Picks Week 11: Anytime TD Predictions

NFL Parlay Picks Week 11: Anytime TD Predictions article feature image
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Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images. Pictured: Aaron Jones.

Pictured: Aaron Jones

Betting an NFL Parlay with Anytime Touchdown scorers is incredibly fun, even if they’re mostly a losing proposition that will drain your bankroll if you’re not careful. Most sportsbooks tend to clean up on this bet type, so how do we scratch the parlay itch without overextending ourselves?

Allow me to introduce “The 180 Challenge” — here’s how it works in case you're not familiar with the concept:

Each week, I bet on a three-leg Anytime TD parlay that equates to somewhere around +1800 or more. $10 per parlay ticket, $180 total for the season.

The goal is to win as much as possible. But the safety net is that you only need to hit one parlay all season to make your money back.

If you go 0-18 (which is unfortunate), the positive spin is it's only $180. This way, we can still participate in fun touchdown parlays while managing our bankroll and not going overboard on bad spending habits.

Here’s my NFL Anytime Touchdown Parlay for Week 11.

NFL Parlay — Week 11 Anytime TD Picks

  • Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+140, bet365)
  • Nico Collins Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+160, bet365)
  • Jauan Jennings Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+240, bet365)

Parlay Odds: +1652 via bet365


Bears vs Vikings TD Pick: Aaron Jones

Bears Logo
Sunday, Nov 16
1:00 p.m. ET
FOX
Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+140)
bet365 Logo

Aaron Jones is fully healthy and off the injury report heading into Week 11, giving him a clear runway for a bounce-back performance. He already flashed his upside last week against the Ravens, punching in a touchdown while commanding a massive snap share over Jordan Mason, a sign the coaching staff trusts him as the lead back.

Despite tallying just two scores on the season, one came in Week 1 against these same Bears, and Chicago’s defense remains vulnerable: 25th in run DVOA and a dismal 30th against pass-catching running backs.

With his health restored and the matchup tilting in his favor, expect Jones to find the end zone again this Sunday.

Texans vs Titans TD Pick: Nico Collins

Texans Logo
Sunday, Nov 16
1 p.m. ET
FOX
Titans Logo
Nico Collins Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+160)
bet365 Logo

Nico Collins has punched in three touchdowns this season and, despite a recent scoring drought over the past few games, has commanded a hefty 36 targets in that span—proof the Texans offense continues to hunt him down. He leads Houston with 11 red-zone looks, putting him in a prime position to cash in.

The Titans defense has been a turnstile all year, bleeding production to anyone in a uniform, and they lean heavily on zone coverage with two-high safety looks — exactly the schemes where Collins posts the league’s highest targets-per-route-run rate.

With volume, scheme advantage, and a porous opponent, Collins is primed to snap his skid and hit paydirt in Week 11.

49ers vs Cardinals TD Pick: Jauan Jennings

49ers Logo
Sunday, Nov 16
4:05 p.m. ET
CBS
Cardinals Logo
Jauan Jennings Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+240)
bet365 Logo

Jauan Jennings has been a red-zone magnet with four touchdowns this season, including scores in back-to-back games, cementing his role as San Francisco’s most reliable receiving weapon. He leads the 49ers with nine red-zone targets, consistently earning high-value looks in scoring position.

Facing an Arizona defense that ranks top-10 in zone-coverage rate, Jennings is perfectly positioned to exploit the scheme — he commands the highest target share among Niners receivers against zone looks.

With momentum, volume, and a favorable matchup, expect Jennings to keep the streak alive and punch in another touchdown this week.

Playbook

Disclaimer: 18-1 parlays have less than 5% chance of hitting, and that percentage only shrinks as you increase the parlay odds. Keep your expectations in check and bet on these for recreation.

Author Profile
About the Author

Gilles Gallant is a sports betting expert at the Action Network, specializing in NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer props. A regular contributor to The Action Network Podcast and YouTube shows like Action Island and Bet What Happens Live, Gilles has been betting on the NFL since 2012 and honed his profitable strategy in 2018. With a background at Odds Shark and FTN Network, he’s known for his expertise in NFL and other sports markets like NBA and MLB. Gilles holds a degree in broadcast journalism from Nova Scotia Community College and is a Certified Sales Professional.​

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