NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings: Straight Up & Against the Spread Picks For Week 5

Credit:

Cody Glenn/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: 49ers mascot

Note: Reports of positive COVID-19 tests on the Patriots, Titans and Raiders could impact the Week 5 schedule. We’ll continue to monitor and update this story as needed.


Straight up. Against the spread.

Whether you’re playing in your office’s (virtual) pool or in a higher-stakes contest, I’ve created pick ’em confidence ratings to help you make your picks each week — complete with a custom against the spread edge calculator.

These pick ’em ratings are based on my NFL Power Ratings, which help power the model projections in our PRO Report. They account for various factors such as travel, injuries and any news that could impact betting odds. In theory, those odds should be fairly close to my ratings, but if we can identify any differences between the two, we can exploit them.

Now let’s run through Week 5 pick ’em confidence ratings for straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) contests — note that these are based on initial projections as of mid-week, and I’ll update this story with my latest rankings on Saturday.


Jump to ATS Ratings


Week 5 NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings

These are for straight-up pick ’em pools.

Rank
Team
Opponent
Win Prob%
1
Ravens
vs. CIN
86%
2
Chiefs
vs. LV
85%
T-3
Patriots
vs. DEN
78%
T-3
Seahawks
vs. MIN
78%
T-5
Rams
@ WAS
77%
T-5
Cardinals
@ NYJ
77%
T-7
49ers
vs. MIA
76%
T-7
Cowboys
vs. NYG
76%
T-9
Steelers
vs. PHI
74%
T-9
Saints
vs. LAC
74%
11
Texans
vs. JAX
69%
12
Buccaneers
@ CHI
67%
T-13
Falcons
vs. CAR
63%
T-13
Bills
@ TEN
63%
T-15
Colts
@ CLE
50%
T-15
Browns
vs. IND
50%
T-17
Panthers
@ ATL
37%
T-17
Titans
vs. BUF
37%
19
Bears
vs. TB
33%
20
Jaguars
@ HOU
31%
21
Eagles
@ PIT
26%
21
Chargers
@ NO
26%
T-23
Dolphins
@ SF
24%
T-23
Giants
@ DAL
24%
T-25
Football Team
vs. LAR
23%
T-25
Jets
vs. ARI
23%
T-27
Broncos
@ NE
22%
T-27
Vikings
@ SEA
22%
29
Raiders
@ KC
15%
30
Bengals
@ BAL
14%

Week 5 NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings

I’ll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I’ve also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.

Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate.

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