Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Dolphins mascot
- Sean Koerner breaks down the best NFL Pick 'Em picks for Week 2, featuring 1-to-32 ratings for against-the-spread and straight-up picks.
- Be sure to check out the downloadable spreadsheet at the bottom to get customized advice based on the spreads used in your pool.
Editor’s note: This story has been updated to reflect the news that Sam Darnold (mono) will not play on Monday Night Football.
Whether you’re playing pick’em in our app or going old school with your co-workers, you can follow my straight-up and against-the-spread pick ’em confidence ratings throughout the season for the best options each week.
Let’s quickly run through my methodology, then dig into my ratings for Week 2 complete with a downloadable spreadsheet you can use to generate custom ratings if your pool is using different odds than those from PointsBet, which we use below.
NFL Pick ‘Em Confidence Ratings Methodology
These confidence ratings are based on my NFL power ratings.
To calculate my power ratings each week, I factor in home-field advantage, travel, injuries, personnel changes and any news that could impact odds to come up with what I feel the “true” odds are for every matchup.
In theory, sportsbooks’ lines should be fairly close. But we can use any differences to exploit the best SU and ATS picks (or know when to avoid certain teams/games).
Now let’s start with my SU ratings for Week 2 then wrap it up with ATS.