NFL Player Props & Picks: How to Bet Ernest Jones, Anthony Richardson & More in Week 5
Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images. Pictured: Anthony Richardson.
The big news out of Indianapolis this week is the return (and contract extension) of running back Jonathan Taylor. But even with the All Pro back in action, I’m banking on quarterback Anthony Richardson to clear his rush attempt prop.
Richardson is over this line in both of his full games, with 10 totes in each contest. Twelve of his attempts are from scripted plays, with the remaining 11 a combination of scrambles and kneel-downs.
It’s that mix that should serve him well against the Titans. Tennessee ranks second in rush defense DVOA (per FTN Fantasy). Richardson will likely need to drop back more, which will lead to more scramble opportunities.
And when the Colts look to move the ball on the ground, I do expect Richardson to see some more calls his way. The Titans' one semi-soft spot in their rush defense is on the edge, which is where the Colts like to run their rookie quarterback.
I have Richardson once again reaching double digit rush attempts, and I’d play this line up to -135.
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With Bobby Wagner back in Seattle, Jones has assumed the every down off-ball linebacker role for the Rams this season, and he has acquitted himself well. He’s recorded at least nine combined tackles in each of his four games thus far.
And with his Rams facing the Eagles, Jones should be in prime position to rack up the tackles. Eagles opponents are averaging 74 combined tackles per game, most in the NFL.
Each of the Eagles' four opponents have had an off-ball linebacker rack up at least nine tackles, with all four going over their pregame combined tackle prop.
I have Jones at 11 combined tackles on Sunday.
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