NFL Kicker Player Props: Week 2 Pick for Joey Slye

NFL Kicker Player Props: Week 2 Pick for Joey Slye article feature image

Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images. Pictured: Joey Slye.

Click here to follow Nick Giffen in the Action App to get all his betting picks instantly.

Sunday, Sept. 17
1 p.m. ET
Pick: Justin Tucker Over 1.5 Field Goals Made (+120)

Honestly, this just seems like a bad line.

Tucker has averaged 1.95 made field goals per game over the last five years, including 2.1 since the start of 2021. The Bengals allowed 2.0 made field goals per game last season. Kicking luck against was neutral for the Bengals, so they didn't give up more made field goals than expected based off number of attempts.

The Ravens went for it on fourth down right in line with league average, so there are no tendencies that suggest an under.

I project a 49.8% chance of Tucker go over and would bet to +115.

Phone With the Action App Open
The must-have app for NFL bettors
The best NFL betting scoreboard
Free picks from proven pros
Live win probabilities for your bets
Sunday, Sept. 17
4:25 p.m. ET
Pick: Joey Slye Under 5.5 Kicking Points (+105)

Washington was 14th in passing up field-goal attempts vs. expected and third in two-point attempt rate in 2022.

The Commanders are more likely to go for it on fourth down and pass up extra points as an underdog than as a favorite.

The Broncos are the unluckier team in this game, according to our Luck Rankings (Luck Gap 75.6%), meaning they're more likely to cover.

This implies an even better chance than the spread suggests that Washington is playing from behind, leaning into its tendencies to avoid FGs and PATs even more.

I project Slye to stay under 54.9% of the time and would bet to -105.

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.